Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Kushnirenko · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 15:30Scheduled

Serhii Kiilo

Home

3.40

At publish

Lost last 7

1–9Last 10Lost last 7

Head to head

14 – 32

All 46 meetings · 30.4%

Last 10 · 2–8Same side

Serhii Kushnirenko

Away

1.30

At publish

Won last 1

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Serhii Kiilo arrives off 7 straight losses.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKiilo 3.40 / Kushnirenko 1.30

Round robin · match 8 of 10

4 of 10 played

Group 2 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Serhii Ponomarenko	2–0	6–1	2
2	Serhii Balabei	1–0	3–2	3
3	Serhii KushnirenkoThis match	1–1	5–3	2
4	Serhii KiiloThis match	0–1	1–3	3
5	Roman Horokh	0–2	0–6	2

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKiilo2wins

AwayKushnirenko8wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKushnirenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKiilo66.7%2 of 3

AwayKushnirenko100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kiilo3Kushnirenko7n = 10Kushnirenko took 7 of 10

S2Kiilo5Kushnirenko5n = 10split evenly

S3Kiilo4Kushnirenko6n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10

S4Kiilo1Kushnirenko7n = 8Kushnirenko took 7 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away660%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKiiloKushnirenkoKiilo − KushnirenkoBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.141.8−4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKiiloKushnirenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 360 vs 319 / 77626.1%41.1%94 / 360 vs 319 / 776Avg sets wonper match1.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.235.7per match

Setka Cup · #13281406

Kiilo3.40

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 7

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog20% won 30 of 152

Down 0–1, comes back13% 15 of 113

Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70

Kushnirenko1.30

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite81% won 33 of 41

Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it90% 27 of 30

Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Kushnirenko · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 8 of 10

Round robin before this match

Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Kushnirenko · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 8 of 10

Round robin before this match