Serhii Balabei vs Serhii Ponomarenko · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 16:00Scheduled

Serhii Balabei

Home

7.00

At publish

Won last 3

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Head to head

11 – 187

All 198 meetings · 5.6%

Last 10 · 0–10Same side

Serhii Ponomarenko

Away

1.08

At publish

Won last 10

10–0Last 10Won last 10

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBalabei 7.00 / Ponomarenko 1.083

Round robin · match 9 of 10

2 of 10 played

Group 2 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Serhii PonomarenkoThis match	1–0	3–0	3
2	Serhii BalabeiThis match	1–0	3–2	3
3	Serhii Kiilo	0–0	0–0	4
4	Serhii Kushnirenko	0–1	2–3	3
5	Roman Horokh	0–1	0–3	3

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBalabei0wins

AwayPonomarenko10wins

2 of 10 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBalabein = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayPonomarenko100%9 of 9

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Balabei1Ponomarenko9n = 10Ponomarenko took 9 of 10

S2Balabei3Ponomarenko7n = 10Ponomarenko took 7 of 10

S3Balabei2Ponomarenko8n = 10Ponomarenko took 8 of 10

S4Balabei0Ponomarenko4n = 4Ponomarenko took 4 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away660%

These 10 meetings

MetricBalabeiPonomarenkoB − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match24.337.7−13.4per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBalabeiPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime514 / 992 vs 801 / 89151.8%89.9%514 / 992 vs 801 / 891Avg sets wonper match2.02.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.3per match

Setka Cup · #13281478

Balabei7.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog31% won 44 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 97

Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54

Ponomarenko1.08

100%won 10 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite86% won 278 of 323

Up 2–0, closes it99% 180 of 182

Up 1–0, closes it94% 227 of 241

Serhii Balabei vs Serhii Ponomarenko · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 9 of 10

Round robin before this match

Serhii Balabei vs Serhii Ponomarenko · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 9 of 10

Round robin before this match