Ihor Emets vs Serhii Solomko 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Ihor Emets

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1181113115113––

Serhii Solomko

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:28 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%

Graded at full time

Ihor Emets to win

56.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingIhor Emets above · Serhii Solomko below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-3

Point 73 set 4, 11-3 · our read held Ihor Emets at 56.5%

73 points played in total.

H2H Ihor Emets 28–13 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 13 of their 41 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Emets

Emets 1.61/Solomko 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.5%

Emets · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Emets won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:28

56.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 5.4pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Emets

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

28-13 in 41

Emets

Correct

gap of 15 in 41, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Emets 1495 vs Solomko 1559

Solomko

Wrong

both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Emets 80% vs Solomko 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Emets 70% vs Solomko 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Emets +3 · Solomko +4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Emets) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Solomko: form 80%, the price implies 45%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsEmets 1.615 / Solomko 2.20

Signal prob.57% / 44%

Edge (Emets)-5.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeEmets6wins

AwaySolomko4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeEmets62.5%5 of 8

AwaySolomkon = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Emets8Solomko2n = 10Emets took 8 of 10

S2Emets3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10

S3Emets5Solomko5n = 10split evenly

S4Emets6Solomko2n = 8Emets took 6 of 8

S5Emets1Solomko2n = 3Solomko took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricEmetsSolomkoE − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.0+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricEmetsSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 496 vs 548 / 104951.4%52.2%255 / 496 vs 548 / 1049Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281085

Emets1.61

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite67% won 62 of 92

Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30

Up 1–0, closes it84% 46 of 55

Solomko2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog47% won 120 of 253

Down 0–1, comes back26% 35 of 137

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 80

Ihor Emets vs Serhii Solomko 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Ihor Emets vs Serhii Solomko 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.