Oleksandr Lyman vs Maksym Hubenko 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Lyman

Home

3.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

12101189111012115

Maksym Hubenko

Away

1.36

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched: 75.1% is still 75.1%

Graded at full time

Maksym Hubenko to win

75.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Maksym Hubenko below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 10-12

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 99 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Maksym Hubenko at 75.1%

99 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Lyman 6–24 Maksym Hubenko Oleksandr Lyman has won 6 of their 30 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hubenko

Lyman 3.00/Hubenko 1.36

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

75.1%

Hubenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Lyman won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 06:27

75.1%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363

clears by 1.7pp

73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.36 (69%)

Hubenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

6-24 in 30

Hubenko

Wrong

gap of 18 in 30, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lyman 1411 vs Hubenko 1566

Hubenko

Wrong

both rated, 155 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lyman 20% vs Hubenko 20%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lyman 20% vs Hubenko 40%

Hubenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Lyman -1 · Hubenko -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Hubenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hubenko: form 20%, the price implies 73%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLyman 3.00 / Hubenko 1.363

Signal prob.25% / 75%

Edge (Hubenko)+1.7pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLyman3wins

AwayHubenko7wins

5 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLyman50%2 of 4

AwayHubenko83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lyman4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10

S2Lyman7Hubenko3n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10

S3Lyman3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10

S4Lyman1Hubenko9n = 10Hubenko took 9 of 10

S5Lyman3Hubenko2n = 5Lyman took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away550%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricLymanHubenkoL − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.443.7−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLymanHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 632 vs 585 / 107442.3%54.5%267 / 632 vs 585 / 1074Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.4per match

Setka Cup · #13280980

Lyman3.00

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog28% won 69 of 247

Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 148

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89

Hubenko1.36

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite70% won 257 of 367

Up 2–0, closes it92% 129 of 140

Up 1–0, closes it80% 180 of 226

Oleksandr Lyman vs Maksym Hubenko 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Lyman vs Maksym Hubenko 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.