Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Maksym Hubenko 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Dmitro Kuzmenko

Home

3.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

3111412118113––

Maksym Hubenko

Away

1.36

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched: 75.1% is still 75.1%

Graded at full time

Maksym Hubenko to win

75.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Maksym Hubenko below

Set 1 · 3-11

Set 2 · 14-12

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-3

Point 73 set 4, 11-3 · our read held Maksym Hubenko at 75.1%

73 points played in total.

H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 14–59 Maksym Hubenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 14 of their 73 meetings.

Last 10 · 1–9Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hubenko

Kuzmenko 3.00/Hubenko 1.36

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

75.1%

Hubenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kuzmenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:27

75.1%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363

clears by 1.7pp

73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.36 (69%)

Hubenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

14-59 in 73

Hubenko

Wrong

gap of 45 in 73, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kuzmenko 1444 vs Hubenko 1577

Hubenko

Wrong

both rated, 133 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kuzmenko 60% vs Hubenko 20%

Kuzmenko

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kuzmenko 40% vs Hubenko 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kuzmenko +2 · Hubenko -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Hubenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hubenko: form 20%, the price implies 73%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKuzmenko 3.00 / Hubenko 1.363

Signal prob.25% / 75%

Edge (Hubenko)+1.7pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKuzmenko1wins

AwayHubenko9wins

6 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKuzmenko0%0 of 5

AwayHubenko80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kuzmenko5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly

S2Kuzmenko5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly

S3Kuzmenko5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly

S4Kuzmenko2Hubenko7n = 9Hubenko took 7 of 9

S5Kuzmenko0Hubenko6n = 6Hubenko took 6 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away660%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKuzmenkoHubenkoK − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.046.7−9.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKuzmenkoHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 966 vs 584 / 107242%54.5%406 / 966 vs 584 / 1072Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281026

Kuzmenko3.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog36% won 111 of 310

Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 176

Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 105

Hubenko1.36

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite70% won 257 of 367

Up 2–0, closes it92% 129 of 140

Up 1–0, closes it80% 180 of 226

Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Maksym Hubenko 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Maksym Hubenko 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.