TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Kasyanov vs Maksym Hubenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1158116111181012
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched: 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeArtem Kasyanov to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Kasyanov above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-9
Point 88 set 5, 8-9 · our read held Artem Kasyanov at 75.3%
88 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Artem Kasyanov 75–40 Maksym Hubenko Maksym Hubenko has won 40 of their 115 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:5975.3%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
clears by 0.3pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kasyanov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
75-40 in 115
Kasyanov
Wrong
gap of 35 in 115, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasyanov 1762 vs Hubenko 1611
Kasyanov
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasyanov 100% vs Hubenko 20%
Kasyanov
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasyanov 50% vs Hubenko 30%
Kasyanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasyanov +5 · Hubenko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Kasyanov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasyanov 1.333 / Hubenko 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kasyanov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13276416
Kasyanov1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 77 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it81% 58 of 72
Hubenko3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 36 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasyanov7wins
AwayHubenko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKasyanov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasyanov85.7%6 of 7
AwayHubenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasyanov7Hubenko3n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S2Kasyanov6Hubenko4n = 10Kasyanov took 6 of 10
S3Kasyanov7Hubenko3n = 10Kasyanov took 7 of 10
S4Kasyanov3Hubenko0n = 3Kasyanov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasyanovHubenkoK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.129.4+5.7per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasyanovHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 671 vs 584 / 107055.9%54.6%375 / 671 vs 584 / 1070Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KasyanovKasyanov 1.33/Hubenko 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Kasyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 11 · 05:00A. Kasyanov341112113M. Hubenko2141070
WSep 11 · 14:00A. Kasyanov361114113M. Hubenko2991280
LSep 10 · 12:00A. Kasyanov2596100M. Hubenko341111123
WAug 9 · 07:00A. Kasyanov4111811113M. Hubenko33811951
WAug 7 · 09:30A. Kasyanov371111153M. Hubenko2162130
WAug 2 · 16:59A. Kasyanov44111111113M. Hubenko38139881
WAug 2 · 16:00A. Kasyanov401613113M. Hubenko32141170
WJul 31 · 11:30A. Kasyanov381111163M. Hubenko2428140
LJul 26 · 11:00A. Kasyanov216870M. Hubenko331111113
A. Kasyanov10
WOct 11 · 09:00A. Kasyanov1.4011811113S. Aristarkhov2.75511881WOct 11 · 08:00A. Lushchyk2.25971131A. Kasyanov1.5711116113WOct 11 · 07:00A. Kasyanov1.57111011113A. Lushchyk2.25812961WOct 11 · 05:30S. Aristarkhov2.5011561172A. Kasyanov1.50911119113WOct 11 · 05:00M. Hubenko3.0041070A. Kasyanov1.361112113LOct 9 · 17:00S. Chuhai2.1011411113A. Kasyanov1.67911851LOct 9 · 16:30R. Ivanov1.611211113A. Kasyanov2.2010680LOct 9 · 15:00I. Fedoryshyn1.6111911123A. Kasyanov2.207115101LOct 9 · 14:00A. Kasyanov2.2068110I. Fedoryshyn1.611111133LOct 9 · 13:00A. Kasyanov2.209890R. Ivanov1.611111113
M. Hubenko10
LOct 11 · 08:30A. Lushchyk1.5311116113M. Hubenko2.38461151LOct 11 · 07:30M. Hubenko2.10711881S. Aristarkhov1.6711311113LOct 11 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.831011115113M. Hubenko1.8312781172WOct 11 · 06:00M. Hubenko2.25117117113A. Lushchyk1.5791171172LOct 11 · 05:00M. Hubenko3.0041070A. Kasyanov1.361112113LOct 9 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.75111011123M. Hubenko1.258129101WOct 9 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.33111115113O. Lyman3.25981761WOct 9 · 08:00O. Syksa2.7511691162M. Hubenko1.40411119113LOct 9 · 06:00O. Ziakun3.251211511113M. Hubenko1.3314811872LOct 9 · 05:00O. Kurylenko2.7512811123M. Hubenko1.4010111101
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