Oleksandr Ziakun vs Maksym Hubenko 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Ziakun

Home

3.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1191210117––––

Maksym Hubenko

Away

1.33

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:28 and never touched: 72.5% is still 72.5%

Graded at full time

Maksym Hubenko to win

72.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Maksym Hubenko below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 60 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Maksym Hubenko at 72.5%

60 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 15–52 Maksym Hubenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 15 of their 67 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hubenko

Ziakun 3.25/Hubenko 1.33

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

72.5%

Hubenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Ziakun won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 04:28

72.5%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333

short by 2.5pp

75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.33 (71%)

Hubenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

15-52 in 67

Hubenko

Wrong

gap of 37 in 67, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Ziakun 1575 vs Hubenko 1611

Hubenko

Wrong

both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Ziakun 80% vs Hubenko 40%

Ziakun

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Ziakun 70% vs Hubenko 40%

Ziakun

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Ziakun -1 · Hubenko +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Hubenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hubenko: form 40%, the price implies 75%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZiakun 3.25 / Hubenko 1.333

Signal prob.28% / 73%

Edge (Hubenko)-2.5pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZiakun2wins

AwayHubenko8wins

3 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZiakun33.3%1 of 3

AwayHubenko85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ziakun3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10

S2Ziakun3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10

S3Ziakun3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10

S4Ziakun2Hubenko3n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5

S5Ziakun1Hubenko2n = 3Hubenko took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricZiakunHubenkoZ − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.839.2−7.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZiakunHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 772 vs 584 / 107047.7%54.6%368 / 772 vs 584 / 1070Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.4per match

Setka Cup · #13280747

Ziakun3.25

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 09)

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog37% won 98 of 267

Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 155

Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82

Hubenko1.33

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite70% won 260 of 370

Up 2–0, closes it92% 131 of 142

Up 1–0, closes it80% 182 of 228

Oleksandr Ziakun vs Maksym Hubenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Ziakun vs Maksym Hubenko 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.