TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ziakun vs Oleksandr Syksa 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121161614611511
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:27 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 102 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 61.2%
102 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 37–68 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Ziakun has won 37 of their 105 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:2761.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
37-68 in 105
Syksa
Correct
gap of 31 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1552 vs Syksa 1528
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 100% vs Syksa 60%
Ziakun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 70% vs Syksa 50%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +5 · Syksa +1
Ziakun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.375 / Syksa 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Syksa)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13260957
Ziakun2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 95 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back21% 32 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82
Syksa1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 247 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it95% 102 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun7wins
AwaySyksa3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun85.7%6 of 7
AwaySyksa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun7Syksa3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S3Ziakun5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun5Syksa4n = 9Ziakun took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunSyksaZ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.439.4+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 762 vs 591 / 112347.4%52.6%361 / 762 vs 591 / 1123Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaZiakun 2.38/Syksa 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 5 · 07:00O. Ziakun571211911143O. Syksa531013117122
WOct 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun3851111113O. Syksa36117991
LOct 1 · 09:00O. Ziakun4011910101O. Syksa3831112123
WSep 27 · 08:00O. Ziakun44111111113O. Syksa38981381
WSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun361113123O. Syksa30911100
WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun46111211123O. Syksa375148101
LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun3841111121O. Syksa4311135143
WSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun4011117113O. Syksa33851191
LSep 9 · 10:00O. Ziakun43111111101O. Syksa4713913123
O. Ziakun10
WOct 6 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.5311512113O. Lyman2.386111091WOct 6 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.73111199113S. Maliuk2.0089111182WOct 6 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.50158128113S. Miroshnychenko2.501311101182WOct 6 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25421211113O. Kurylenko1.57111110792WOct 6 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101211113D. Kuzmenko1.6710870LOct 5 · 11:00O. Ziakun1.9110330O. Kurylenko1.801211113LOct 5 · 09:00S. Maliuk1.831411113O. Ziakun1.8312560LOct 5 · 08:00O. Ziakun3.004117101M. Hubenko1.3611811123WOct 5 · 07:00O. Syksa1.531013117122O. Ziakun2.381211911143WOct 5 · 05:30O. Ziakun1.5031211113O. Lyman2.501110791
O. Syksa10
WOct 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.91611581O. Syksa1.8011611113LOct 7 · 10:00O. Syksa4.50108110S. Chuhai1.171211133LOct 7 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.50129711113O. Syksa2.50101111972WOct 7 · 06:00D. Kuzmenko2.0061171152O. Syksa1.73115118113WOct 7 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.53115111162O. Syksa2.38311713113LOct 5 · 10:30S. Maliuk2.2011611113O. Syksa1.61711661WOct 5 · 09:30O. Syksa1.2011111113O. Lyman4.33511731WOct 5 · 08:30O. Syksa1.6711811113O. Kurylenko2.10811761LOct 5 · 07:00O. Syksa1.531013117122O. Ziakun2.381211911143LOct 5 · 05:00O. Syksa2.38111051172M. Hubenko1.53512113113
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