TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Syksa vs Oleh Kurylenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811117116––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched: 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 56.6%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 91–69 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 69 of their 160 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2456.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
91-69 in 160
Syksa
Correct
gap of 22 in 160, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1491 vs Kurylenko 1527
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 20% vs Kurylenko 40%
Kurylenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 20% vs Kurylenko 50%
Kurylenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -3 · Kurylenko -2
Syksa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.666 / Kurylenko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Syksa)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245128
Syksa1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 247 of 363
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 199
Kurylenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 68 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa4wins
AwayKurylenko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKurylenko55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa1Kurylenko9n = 10Kurylenko took 9 of 10
S2Syksa4Kurylenko6n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S3Syksa4Kurylenko6n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S4Syksa6Kurylenko1n = 7Syksa took 6 of 7
S5Syksa3Kurylenko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaKurylenkoS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.543.7−5.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime592 / 1127 vs 496 / 100252.5%49.5%592 / 1127 vs 496 / 1002Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.67/Kurylenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 08:00O. Syksa102260O. Kurylenko331111113
WSep 28 · 09:00O. Syksa463111011113O. Kurylenko4511812592
WSep 25 · 09:30O. Syksa4391111123O. Kurylenko361187101
LSep 24 · 05:30O. Syksa4384131172O. Kurylenko531111119113
LSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa42111111452O. Kurylenko50781311113
LSep 18 · 08:00O. Syksa2412570O. Kurylenko361411113
WSep 17 · 07:00O. Syksa50981111113O. Kurylenko4411117962
LSep 16 · 07:30O. Syksa2611960O. Kurylenko351311113
WSep 14 · 06:30O. Syksa474101111113O. Kurylenko4411128762
LSep 11 · 06:30O. Syksa541111315142O. Kurylenko611381113163
O. Syksa10
WOct 5 · 09:30O. Syksa1.2011111113O. Lyman4.33511731LOct 5 · 07:00O. Syksa1.531013117122O. Ziakun2.381211911143LOct 5 · 05:00O. Syksa2.38111051172M. Hubenko1.53512113113LOct 4 · 17:03O. Syksa1.9111451262S. Aristarkhov1.807111110113WOct 4 · 16:00O. Syksa1.671211113D. Kuzmenko2.1010570LOct 4 · 15:00A. Vasylets1.501111103O. Syksa2.507790LOct 4 · 14:00S. Aristarkhov1.80811911113O. Syksa1.9111811932LOct 4 · 12:30M. Hubenko1.361111113O. Syksa3.008660LOct 2 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4412121071D. Prylepa2.63141012113LOct 2 · 09:00O. Syksa1.57117991O. Ziakun2.2551111113
O. Kurylenko10
LOct 5 · 06:30O. Lyman2.1011116113O. Kurylenko1.67661171LOct 5 · 04:30S. Maliuk1.831418113O. Kurylenko1.83121660WSep 30 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.83671113113S. Maliuk1.83111191122LSep 30 · 09:30O. Lyman2.20117111113O. Kurylenko1.6191111382WSep 30 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.36119691O. Kurylenko3.0091111113WSep 30 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.911111113O. Syksa1.802260WSep 30 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.281111113A. Vasylets3.507680LSep 28 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8089110D. Kuzmenko1.911111133LSep 28 · 09:00O. Syksa1.803111011113O. Kurylenko1.9111812592WSep 28 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.911211123S. Maliuk1.80109100
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