TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Syksa vs Oleh Kurylenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111181012115119
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 90–68 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 68 of their 158 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
90-68 in 158
Syksa
Correct
gap of 22 in 158, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1502 vs Kurylenko 1531
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 40% vs Kurylenko 60%
Kurylenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 30% vs Kurylenko 60%
Kurylenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +1 · Kurylenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.80 / Kurylenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Syksa)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13207693
Syksa1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 247 of 365
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it83% 166 of 201
Kurylenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 72 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back19% 25 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa4wins
AwayKurylenko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKurylenko62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa2Kurylenko8n = 10Kurylenko took 8 of 10
S2Syksa4Kurylenko6n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S3Syksa6Kurylenko4n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Syksa5Kurylenko2n = 7Syksa took 5 of 7
S5Syksa2Kurylenko3n = 5Kurylenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaKurylenkoS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.042.9−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime590 / 1121 vs 498 / 100452.6%49.6%590 / 1121 vs 498 / 1004Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.80/Kurylenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 09:30O. Syksa4391111123O. Kurylenko361187101
LSep 24 · 05:30O. Syksa4384131172O. Kurylenko531111119113
LSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa42111111452O. Kurylenko50781311113
LSep 18 · 08:00O. Syksa2412570O. Kurylenko361411113
WSep 17 · 07:00O. Syksa50981111113O. Kurylenko4411117962
LSep 16 · 07:30O. Syksa2611960O. Kurylenko351311113
WSep 14 · 06:30O. Syksa474101111113O. Kurylenko4411128762
LSep 11 · 06:30O. Syksa541111315142O. Kurylenko611381113163
WSep 10 · 07:00O. Syksa361213113O. Kurylenko29101180
LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa357711101O. Kurylenko4111117123
O. Syksa10
WSep 28 · 10:30O. Syksa1.401111913113D. Prylepa2.7576111562WSep 28 · 07:30O. Syksa1.171151112153O. Lyman4.50611514132LSep 28 · 06:00O. Syksa1.575580S. Maliuk2.251111113WSep 28 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6711611113D. Kuzmenko2.10911681LSep 27 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.401111116143O. Syksa2.75971311122LSep 27 · 10:00O. Syksa1.61111191172D. Kuzmenko2.20136114113LSep 27 · 08:00O. Ziakun2.63111111113O. Syksa1.44981381LSep 27 · 06:00A. Lushchyk1.441111113O. Syksa2.636470LSep 27 · 05:00S. Aristarkhov1.73911611113O. Syksa2.0011311922LSep 25 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.75911711113O. Syksa1.4011811882
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 28 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.911211123S. Maliuk1.80109100LSep 28 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.67101113113O. Kurylenko2.101261191LSep 28 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.674650O. Lyman2.101111113WSep 26 · 17:34A. Vasylets1.8069111182O. Kurylenko1.91111196113WSep 26 · 16:30O. Kurylenko2.0011113113D. Prylepa1.73691161LSep 26 · 15:30O. Kurylenko3.50471121A. Vasylets1.2811113113WSep 26 · 14:00O. Kurylenko3.0095111193M. Hubenko1.3611117782WSep 26 · 13:00O. Kurylenko1.6711911153O. Lyman2.109117131WSep 25 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.6711511113O. Lyman2.10611381LSep 25 · 09:30O. Syksa1.6791111123O. Kurylenko2.101187101
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