TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Oleh Kurylenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121161311119––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 76–47 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 47 of their 123 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:51What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
76-47 in 123
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 29 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1491 vs Kurylenko 1529
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 20% vs Kurylenko 60%
Kurylenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 50% vs Kurylenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -3 · Kurylenko -1
Prylepa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prylepa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.67 / Kurylenko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prylepa)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13208246
Prylepa1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 126 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it97% 59 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it85% 102 of 120
Kurylenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 72 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back19% 25 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa5wins
AwayKurylenko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa66.7%2 of 3
AwayKurylenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa3Kurylenko7n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Prylepa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Prylepa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaKurylenkoP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.239.6−0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 809 vs 497 / 100249.3%49.6%399 / 809 vs 497 / 1002Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.67/Kurylenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 07:00D. Prylepa45101113113O. Kurylenko381261191
LSep 26 · 16:30D. Prylepa32691161O. Kurylenko3611113113
WSep 25 · 07:30D. Prylepa4111811113O. Kurylenko32611691
LSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa31116861O. Kurylenko4071111113
LSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa30461191O. Kurylenko4011117113
WSep 10 · 11:00D. Prylepa51991111113O. Kurylenko4811119982
WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa529111011113O. Kurylenko3911412842
LSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa28311951O. Kurylenko4211911113
LAug 31 · 05:00D. Prylepa401017581O. Kurylenko49121511113
WAug 24 · 09:30D. Prylepa4211119113O. Kurylenko32881151
D. Prylepa10
LSep 28 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.731191111132S. Maliuk2.00131168153LSep 26 · 16:58M. Hubenko1.571111193D. Prylepa2.2588170LSep 26 · 16:30O. Kurylenko2.0011113113D. Prylepa1.73691161WSep 26 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.63413116103M. Hubenko1.44111181182LSep 26 · 13:30D. Prylepa1.83111371A. Vasylets1.8311911113WSep 26 · 12:00D. Prylepa1.3391311113O. Lyman3.251111871WSep 25 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.75911711113O. Syksa1.4011811882LSep 25 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.676440S. Maliuk2.101111113WSep 25 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.6711811113O. Kurylenko2.10611691WSep 25 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.361111113O. Lyman3.007750
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 28 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.911211123S. Maliuk1.80109100LSep 28 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.674650O. Lyman2.101111113WSep 26 · 17:34A. Vasylets1.8069111182O. Kurylenko1.91111196113WSep 26 · 16:30O. Kurylenko2.0011113113D. Prylepa1.73691161LSep 26 · 15:30O. Kurylenko3.50471121A. Vasylets1.2811113113WSep 26 · 14:00O. Kurylenko3.0095111193M. Hubenko1.3611117782WSep 26 · 13:00O. Kurylenko1.6711911153O. Lyman2.109117131WSep 25 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.6711511113O. Lyman2.10611381LSep 25 · 09:30O. Syksa1.6791111123O. Kurylenko2.101187101LSep 25 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.6711811113O. Kurylenko2.10611691
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