TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Dmytro Prylepa 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181181917––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 19-17
Point 74 set 3, 19-17
74 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 92–43 Dmytro Prylepa Dmytro Prylepa has won 43 of their 135 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Prylepa beat Hubenko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.57 / Prylepa 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13201352
Hubenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 250 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it94% 127 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it83% 177 of 214
Prylepa2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 49 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back11% 11 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko7wins
AwayPrylepa3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayPrylepa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko7Prylepa3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Hubenko4Prylepa6n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko5Prylepa4n = 9Hubenko took 5 of 9
S4Hubenko3Prylepa1n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
S5Hubenko3Prylepa1n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoPrylepaH − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.3+2.5per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime564 / 1048 vs 399 / 80853.8%49.4%564 / 1048 vs 399 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.57/Prylepa 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 23 · 07:00M. Hubenko4111681242D. Prylepa518111110113
WSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko331111113D. Prylepa213990
WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko341211113D. Prylepa2210570
WSep 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko531181110133D. Prylepa48911512112
WAug 31 · 07:00M. Hubenko531111911113D. Prylepa4651311982
LAug 30 · 14:30M. Hubenko1910360D. Prylepa341211113
LAug 28 · 08:30M. Hubenko3181490D. Prylepa381116113
WAug 20 · 05:00M. Hubenko351111133D. Prylepa2458110
WAug 16 · 17:30M. Hubenko591162011113D. Prylepa52131118282
M. Hubenko10
WSep 26 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.3311116123O. Lyman3.258911101LSep 26 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.63413116103M. Hubenko1.44111181182LSep 26 · 14:00O. Kurylenko3.0095111193M. Hubenko1.3611117782LSep 26 · 12:30A. Vasylets2.5011112113M. Hubenko1.50681151LSep 24 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.36114891D. Kuzmenko3.0051111113WSep 24 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331111123O. Kurylenko3.2566100WSep 24 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.401711113O. Syksa2.7515860LSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.17813851S. Miroshnychenko4.50111111113WSep 24 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.3011511113O. Lyman3.40511941WSep 23 · 11:00M. Hubenko1.4451111113S. Maliuk2.63118931
D. Prylepa10
LSep 26 · 16:30O. Kurylenko2.0011113113D. Prylepa1.73691161WSep 26 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.63413116103M. Hubenko1.44111181182LSep 26 · 13:30D. Prylepa1.83111371A. Vasylets1.8311911113WSep 26 · 12:00D. Prylepa1.3391311113O. Lyman3.251111871WSep 25 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.75911711113O. Syksa1.4011811882LSep 25 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.676440S. Maliuk2.101111113WSep 25 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.6711811113O. Kurylenko2.10611691WSep 25 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.361111113O. Lyman3.007750LSep 25 · 04:30D. Prylepa1.5751191172D. Kuzmenko2.25119118113WSep 23 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0099111172D. Prylepa1.73111179113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.