TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Syksa vs Dmytro Prylepa 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171169111315116
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:26 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 100 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 67.9%
100 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 102–34 Dmytro Prylepa Dmytro Prylepa has won 34 of their 136 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
102-34 in 136
Syksa
Correct
gap of 68 in 136, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1502 vs Prylepa 1487
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 60% vs Prylepa 40%
Syksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 30% vs Prylepa 50%
Prylepa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +2 · Prylepa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.40 / Prylepa 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Syksa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13208113
Syksa1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 247 of 365
Up 2–0, closes it95% 105 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it83% 166 of 201
Prylepa2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog31% won 50 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa8wins
AwayPrylepa2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa87.5%7 of 8
AwayPrylepan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa8Prylepa2n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S2Syksa8Prylepa2n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S3Syksa6Prylepa4n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Syksa5Prylepa2n = 7Syksa took 5 of 7
S5Syksa1Prylepa2n = 3Prylepa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaPrylepaS − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.834.3+5.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime590 / 1121 vs 400 / 81052.6%49.4%590 / 1121 vs 400 / 810Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.40/Prylepa 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 10:30O. Syksa4611811882D. Prylepa49911711113
WSep 23 · 05:00O. Syksa3911611113D. Prylepa35811971
WSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa4011117113D. Prylepa31481181
WSep 14 · 08:30O. Syksa331111113D. Prylepa236980
WSep 13 · 13:30O. Syksa4011117113D. Prylepa30861151
WSep 10 · 08:30O. Syksa361114113D. Prylepa2661280
WSep 7 · 10:30O. Syksa341112113D. Prylepa2451090
WSep 6 · 08:00O. Syksa45215116113D. Prylepa41111301162
WSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa4111117123D. Prylepa388911101
LAug 31 · 09:30O. Syksa4471191162D. Prylepa46119114113
O. Syksa10
WSep 28 · 09:00O. Syksa1.803111011113O. Kurylenko1.9111812592WSep 28 · 07:30O. Syksa1.171151112153O. Lyman4.50611514132LSep 28 · 06:00O. Syksa1.575580S. Maliuk2.251111113WSep 28 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6711611113D. Kuzmenko2.10911681LSep 27 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.401111116143O. Syksa2.75971311122LSep 27 · 10:00O. Syksa1.61111191172D. Kuzmenko2.20136114113LSep 27 · 08:00O. Ziakun2.63111111113O. Syksa1.44981381LSep 27 · 06:00A. Lushchyk1.441111113O. Syksa2.636470LSep 27 · 05:00S. Aristarkhov1.73911611113O. Syksa2.0011311922LSep 25 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.75911711113O. Syksa1.4011811882
D. Prylepa10
LSep 28 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.3341181592O. Lyman3.251141113113WSep 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.571111105123D. Kuzmenko2.25861211102WSep 28 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.67101113113O. Kurylenko2.101261191LSep 28 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.731191111132S. Maliuk2.00131168153LSep 26 · 16:58M. Hubenko1.571111193D. Prylepa2.2588170LSep 26 · 16:30O. Kurylenko2.0011113113D. Prylepa1.73691161WSep 26 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.63413116103M. Hubenko1.44111181182LSep 26 · 13:30D. Prylepa1.83111371A. Vasylets1.8311911113WSep 26 · 12:00D. Prylepa1.3391311113O. Lyman3.251111871WSep 25 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.75911711113O. Syksa1.4011811882
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