TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Syksa vs Oleksandr Ziakun 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115711911911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Oleksandr Ziakun below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 60.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 68–35 Oleksandr Ziakun Oleksandr Ziakun has won 35 of their 103 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5860.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
68-35 in 103
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 33 in 103, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1553 vs Ziakun 1524
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 80% vs Ziakun 60%
Syksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 70% vs Ziakun 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +1 · Ziakun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.571 / Ziakun 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Syksa)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229019
Syksa1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 250 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it84% 168 of 201
Ziakun2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 91 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa4wins
AwayZiakun6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa75%3 of 4
AwayZiakun83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa4Ziakun6n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S2Syksa4Ziakun6n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Syksa5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S4Syksa5Ziakun4n = 9Syksa took 5 of 9
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaZiakunS − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.741.3−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime596 / 1127 vs 360 / 76252.9%47.2%596 / 1127 vs 360 / 762Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.57/Ziakun 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 1 · 09:00O. Syksa3831112123O. Ziakun4011910101
LSep 27 · 08:00O. Syksa38981381O. Ziakun44111111113
LSep 23 · 06:00O. Syksa30911100O. Ziakun361113123
LSep 18 · 06:00O. Syksa375148101O. Ziakun46111211123
WSep 17 · 10:30O. Syksa4311135143O. Ziakun3841111121
LSep 11 · 04:30O. Syksa33851191O. Ziakun4011117113
WSep 9 · 10:00O. Syksa4713913123O. Ziakun43111111101
WSep 2 · 06:00O. Syksa47111012143O. Ziakun4171210121
LAug 31 · 07:30O. Syksa3511410101O. Ziakun4491112123
O. Syksa10
LOct 2 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4412121071D. Prylepa2.63141012113WOct 2 · 07:30O. Syksa1.30111169113S. Miroshnychenko3.4085111152LOct 2 · 06:00O. Syksa1.734870D. Kuzmenko2.001111113WOct 2 · 04:30O. Syksa1.2061111143O. Lyman4.331146121WOct 1 · 11:00O. Syksa1.3011117113S. Miroshnychenko3.40961151WOct 1 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.6311910101O. Syksa1.4431112123LOct 1 · 08:00O. Syksa2.5021080M. Hubenko1.501112113WOct 1 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.63711361O. Syksa1.4411811113WOct 1 · 05:30O. Syksa1.731111113D. Kuzmenko2.008680LSep 30 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.7371112113O. Syksa2.001151051
O. Ziakun10
WOct 2 · 08:00O. Ziakun2.00511411113D. Kuzmenko1.7311911782LOct 2 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.7311116113O. Ziakun2.00771191WOct 2 · 05:30O. Ziakun1.4411911113S. Miroshnychenko2.63711891WOct 1 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0011149113D. Prylepa1.736121171LOct 1 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.6311910101O. Syksa1.4431112123LOct 1 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.003890D. Kuzmenko1.731111113LOct 1 · 06:00O. Ziakun3.006890M. Hubenko1.361111113WOct 1 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.441317913113S. Miroshnychenko2.631515111152WSep 29 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.8312611113S. Maliuk1.831011871WSep 29 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.4071311113S. Miroshnychenko2.751111691
Upcoming Matches
O. Syksa
Nothing scheduled
O. Ziakun
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