TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Syksa vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811711––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:53 and never touched: 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Oleksandr Syksa @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 55.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 87–42 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 42 of their 129 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 04:5355.7%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 2.2pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
87-42 in 129
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 45 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1567 vs Kuzmenko 1456
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 80% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Syksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 70% vs Kuzmenko 20%
Syksa
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +3 · Kuzmenko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.727 / Kuzmenko 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Syksa)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229187
Syksa1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 250 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it84% 168 of 201
Kuzmenko2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 109 of 309
Down 0–1, comes back17% 29 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa4wins
AwayKuzmenko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa100%4 of 4
AwayKuzmenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S2Syksa4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Syksa5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Syksa3Kuzmenko0n = 3Syksa took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaKuzmenkoS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.732.1+0.6per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime597 / 1127 vs 403 / 96153%41.9%597 / 1127 vs 403 / 961Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.73/Kuzmenko 2.00
Miss
What we said
55.7%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Oleksandr Syksa @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
0–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 05:30O. Syksa331111113D. Kuzmenko228680
WSep 28 · 04:30O. Syksa3911611113D. Kuzmenko34911681
LSep 27 · 10:00O. Syksa49111191172D. Kuzmenko45136114113
LSep 25 · 08:30O. Syksa239770D. Kuzmenko331111113
LSep 24 · 09:30O. Syksa268990D. Kuzmenko331111113
LSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa4185111162D. Kuzmenko45111184113
WSep 20 · 10:00O. Syksa331111113D. Kuzmenko208570
LSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa209740D. Kuzmenko331111113
WSep 16 · 04:30O. Syksa341211113D. Kuzmenko2110290
LSep 14 · 11:00O. Syksa29109100D. Kuzmenko351211123
O. Syksa10
WOct 2 · 04:30O. Syksa1.2061111143O. Lyman4.331146121WOct 1 · 11:00O. Syksa1.3011117113S. Miroshnychenko3.40961151WOct 1 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.6311910101O. Syksa1.4431112123LOct 1 · 08:00O. Syksa2.5021080M. Hubenko1.501112113WOct 1 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.63711361O. Syksa1.4411811113WOct 1 · 05:30O. Syksa1.731111113D. Kuzmenko2.008680LSep 30 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.7371112113O. Syksa2.001151051WSep 30 · 10:00O. Syksa1.61148137113S. Maliuk2.201211111182LSep 30 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.911111113O. Syksa1.802260WSep 30 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.579790O. Syksa2.251111113
D. Kuzmenko10
LOct 2 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57611112113D. Kuzmenko2.2511681152LOct 1 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko3.00121111552M. Hubenko1.361013911113LOct 1 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.611111113D. Kuzmenko2.209940WOct 1 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.003890D. Kuzmenko1.731111113WOct 1 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko1.501112113S. Miroshnychenko2.5091090LOct 1 · 05:30O. Syksa1.731111113D. Kuzmenko2.008680LSep 29 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.6311117113D. Kuzmenko1.44991141LSep 29 · 10:00O. Lyman2.6311111114113D. Kuzmenko1.44134131232LSep 29 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.831181110113D. Kuzmenko1.8381181272LSep 29 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.3310111111113D. Kuzmenko3.2512139142
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