TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119114––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Dmytro Prylepa @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 55 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 58.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 62–29 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 29 of their 91 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:2958.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
62-29 in 91
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 33 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1491 vs Kuzmenko 1485
Prylepa
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Kuzmenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Kuzmenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +1 · Kuzmenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Prylepa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.615 / Kuzmenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Prylepa)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223761
Prylepa1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it97% 59 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it86% 102 of 119
Kuzmenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 109 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back17% 29 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa8wins
AwayKuzmenko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%7 of 7
AwayKuzmenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa7Kuzmenko3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa8Kuzmenko2n = 10Prylepa took 8 of 10
S3Prylepa5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Prylepa4Kuzmenko2n = 6Prylepa took 4 of 6
S5Prylepa3Kuzmenko1n = 4Prylepa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaKuzmenkoP − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.634.2+6.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 808 vs 403 / 95949.4%42%399 / 808 vs 403 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.61/Kuzmenko 2.20
Hit
What we said
58.9%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Dmytro Prylepa @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–0
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa491111105123D. Kuzmenko47861211102
LSep 25 · 04:30D. Prylepa4351191172D. Kuzmenko50119118113
WSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa49118811113D. Kuzmenko4261111772
WSep 14 · 07:00D. Prylepa571115911113D. Kuzmenko47131311732
WSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa4211119113D. Kuzmenko32961161
WAug 28 · 05:00D. Prylepa351111133D. Kuzmenko2687110
WAug 24 · 05:00D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko179710
WAug 18 · 09:30D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko249960
LAug 16 · 15:00D. Prylepa326511101D. Kuzmenko4211118123
WAug 5 · 09:30D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko156630
D. Prylepa10
LOct 1 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0011149113D. Prylepa1.736121171WOct 1 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.40121111113S. Miroshnychenko2.751013861LOct 1 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.63711361O. Syksa1.4411811113WOct 1 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.38961114113M. Hubenko1.53111111282LSep 28 · 10:30O. Syksa1.401111913113D. Prylepa2.7576111562LSep 28 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.3341181592O. Lyman3.251141113113WSep 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.571111105123D. Kuzmenko2.25861211102WSep 28 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.67101113113O. Kurylenko2.101261191LSep 28 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.731191111132S. Maliuk2.00131168153LSep 26 · 16:58M. Hubenko1.571111193D. Prylepa2.2588170
D. Kuzmenko10
WOct 1 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.003890D. Kuzmenko1.731111113WOct 1 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko1.501112113S. Miroshnychenko2.5091090LOct 1 · 05:30O. Syksa1.731111113D. Kuzmenko2.008680LSep 29 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.6311117113D. Kuzmenko1.44991141LSep 29 · 10:00O. Lyman2.6311111114113D. Kuzmenko1.44134131232LSep 29 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.831181110113D. Kuzmenko1.8381181272LSep 29 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.3310111111113D. Kuzmenko3.2512139142WSep 29 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10711671D. Kuzmenko1.6711911113WSep 28 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8089110D. Kuzmenko1.911111133LSep 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.571111105123D. Kuzmenko2.25861211102
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