TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Syksa vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116118––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:28 and never touched: 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Oleksandr Syksa @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 55.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 86–42 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 42 of their 128 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 04:2855.7%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 2.2pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
86-42 in 128
Syksa
Correct
gap of 44 in 128, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1531 vs Kuzmenko 1469
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 60% vs Kuzmenko 20%
Syksa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 70% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Syksa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa -1 · Kuzmenko -4
Kuzmenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Syksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.727 / Kuzmenko 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Syksa)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223648
Syksa1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 246 of 362
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 198
Kuzmenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 29)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 109 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back17% 29 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa3wins
AwayKuzmenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa75%3 of 4
AwayKuzmenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S2Syksa3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Syksa4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Syksa3Kuzmenko1n = 4Syksa took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaKuzmenkoS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.034.3−1.3per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime593 / 1122 vs 401 / 95652.9%42%593 / 1122 vs 401 / 956Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.73/Kuzmenko 2.00
Hit
What we said
55.7%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Oleksandr Syksa @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
3–0
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 04:30O. Syksa3911611113D. Kuzmenko34911681
LSep 27 · 10:00O. Syksa49111191172D. Kuzmenko45136114113
LSep 25 · 08:30O. Syksa239770D. Kuzmenko331111113
LSep 24 · 09:30O. Syksa268990D. Kuzmenko331111113
LSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa4185111162D. Kuzmenko45111184113
WSep 20 · 10:00O. Syksa331111113D. Kuzmenko208570
LSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa209740D. Kuzmenko331111113
WSep 16 · 04:30O. Syksa341211113D. Kuzmenko2110290
LSep 14 · 11:00O. Syksa29109100D. Kuzmenko351211123
LSep 11 · 11:00O. Syksa361159111D. Kuzmenko4491111133
O. Syksa10
LSep 30 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.7371112113O. Syksa2.001151051WSep 30 · 10:00O. Syksa1.61148137113S. Maliuk2.201211111182LSep 30 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.911111113O. Syksa1.802260WSep 30 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.579790O. Syksa2.251111113WSep 30 · 05:00O. Lyman4.33117991O. Syksa1.2081111113WSep 28 · 10:30O. Syksa1.401111913113D. Prylepa2.7576111562WSep 28 · 09:00O. Syksa1.803111011113O. Kurylenko1.9111812592WSep 28 · 07:30O. Syksa1.171151112153O. Lyman4.50611514132LSep 28 · 06:00O. Syksa1.575580S. Maliuk2.251111113WSep 28 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6711611113D. Kuzmenko2.10911681
D. Kuzmenko10
WOct 1 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko1.501112113S. Miroshnychenko2.5091090LSep 29 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.6311117113D. Kuzmenko1.44991141LSep 29 · 10:00O. Lyman2.6311111114113D. Kuzmenko1.44134131232LSep 29 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.831181110113D. Kuzmenko1.8381181272LSep 29 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.3310111111113D. Kuzmenko3.2512139142WSep 29 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10711671D. Kuzmenko1.6711911113WSep 28 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.8089110D. Kuzmenko1.911111133WSep 28 · 10:00S. Maliuk1.67111090D. Kuzmenko2.101312113LSep 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.571111105123D. Kuzmenko2.25861211102LSep 28 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6711611113D. Kuzmenko2.10911681
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