Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Oleksandr Lyman 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Dmitro Kuzmenko

Home

1.44

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

16144119111012––

Oleksandr Lyman

Away

2.63

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:25 and never touched: 66.1% is still 66.1%

Graded at full time

Dmitro Kuzmenko to win

66.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Oleksandr Lyman below

Set 1 · 16-14

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 10-12

Point 87 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 66.1%

87 points played in total.

H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 52–27 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 27 of their 79 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kuzmenko

Kuzmenko 1.44/Lyman 2.63

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

66.1%

Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Lyman won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:25

66.1%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 3.2pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Kuzmenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

52-27 in 79

Kuzmenko

Wrong

gap of 25 in 79, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kuzmenko 1461 vs Lyman 1396

Kuzmenko

Wrong

both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kuzmenko 60% vs Lyman 40%

Kuzmenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kuzmenko 50% vs Lyman 20%

Kuzmenko

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kuzmenko +3 · Lyman -1

Kuzmenko

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Kuzmenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKuzmenko 1.444 / Lyman 2.625

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Kuzmenko)-3.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKuzmenko6wins

AwayLyman4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKuzmenko75%6 of 8

AwayLymann = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kuzmenko8Lyman2n = 10Kuzmenko took 8 of 10

S2Kuzmenko6Lyman4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10

S3Kuzmenko7Lyman3n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10

S4Kuzmenko1Lyman6n = 7Lyman took 6 of 7

S5Kuzmenko1Lyman2n = 3Lyman took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricKuzmenkoLymanK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.438.2+2.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKuzmenkoLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 967 vs 266 / 63242.1%42.1%407 / 967 vs 266 / 632Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match

Setka Cup · #13281061

Kuzmenko1.44

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite62% won 95 of 153

Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55

Up 1–0, closes it80% 76 of 95

Lyman2.63

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog28% won 69 of 247

Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 148

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89

Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Oleksandr Lyman 1-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Oleksandr Lyman 1-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.