Oleh Kurylenko vs Oleksandr Lyman 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleh Kurylenko

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11131181210118––

Oleksandr Lyman

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:22 and never touched: 59.0% is still 59.0%

Graded at full time

Oleh Kurylenko to win

59.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Lyman below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 84 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 59.0%

84 points played in total.

H2H Oleh Kurylenko 58–40 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 40 of their 98 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kurylenko

Kurylenko 1.67/Lyman 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59%

Kurylenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kurylenko won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 05:22

59.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 1.0pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Kurylenko

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

58-40 in 98

Kurylenko

Correct

gap of 18 in 98, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kurylenko 1543 vs Lyman 1394

Kurylenko

Correct

both rated, 149 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kurylenko 60% vs Lyman 20%

Kurylenko

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kurylenko 40% vs Lyman 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kurylenko +1 · Lyman +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Kurylenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lyman: form 20%, the price implies 48%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKurylenko 1.666 / Lyman 2.10

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Kurylenko)-1.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKurylenko6wins

AwayLyman4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKurylenko100%5 of 5

AwayLyman80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kurylenko5Lyman5n = 10split evenly

S2Kurylenko5Lyman5n = 10split evenly

S3Kurylenko7Lyman3n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10

S4Kurylenko5Lyman2n = 7Kurylenko took 5 of 7

S5Kurylenko1Lyman2n = 3Lyman took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKurylenkoLymanK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.035.9+2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKurylenkoLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 1005 vs 268 / 63749.6%42.1%498 / 1005 vs 268 / 637Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.6per match

Setka Cup · #13281018

Kurylenko1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 09)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite61% won 157 of 259

Up 2–0, closes it89% 74 of 83

Up 1–0, closes it80% 111 of 139

Lyman2.10

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog28% won 69 of 247

Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 148

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89

Oleh Kurylenko vs Oleksandr Lyman 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleh Kurylenko vs Oleksandr Lyman 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.