TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Vasylets vs Oleh Kurylenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116116––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:28 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Andrii Vasylets at 79.4%
50 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 32–6 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 6 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:2879.4%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
clears by 1.6pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Vasylets
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
32-6 in 38
Vasylets
Correct
gap of 26 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1710 vs Kurylenko 1557
Vasylets
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 80% vs Kurylenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 80% vs Kurylenko 60%
Vasylets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +3 · Kurylenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Vasylets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.285 / Kurylenko 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Vasylets)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13255604
Vasylets1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 04)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 35 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Kurylenko3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 68 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets8wins
AwayKurylenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVasylets leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets100%6 of 6
AwayKurylenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets6Kurylenko4n = 10Vasylets took 6 of 10
S2Vasylets7Kurylenko3n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S3Vasylets5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasylets6Kurylenko0n = 6Vasylets took 6 of 6
S5Vasylets2Kurylenko1n = 3Vasylets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsKurylenkoV − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.231.8+8.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 516 vs 502 / 101045.5%49.7%235 / 516 vs 502 / 1010Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsVasylets 1.28/Kurylenko 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 05:30A. Vasylets331111113O. Kurylenko175660
LSep 30 · 05:30A. Vasylets217680O. Kurylenko331111113
LSep 26 · 17:34A. Vasylets4569111182O. Kurylenko48111196113
WSep 26 · 15:30A. Vasylets3611113113O. Kurylenko24471121
WSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets669111814143O. Kurylenko6411131612122
WSep 2 · 05:30A. Vasylets4011117113O. Kurylenko30951151
WAug 19 · 05:30A. Vasylets517111111113O. Kurylenko3611513342
WMay 30 · 14:30A. Vasylets331111113O. Kurylenko165740
WMar 28 · 15:30A. Vasylets4211119113O. Kurylenko29761151
WJan 20 · 18:12A. Vasylets351112123O. Kurylenko21110100
A. Vasylets10
WOct 4 · 17:33M. Hubenko1.53611961A. Vasylets2.3811811113WOct 4 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.50312641A. Vasylets2.5011101153WOct 4 · 15:00A. Vasylets1.501111103O. Syksa2.507790LOct 4 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.5011126111M. Hubenko1.5031411133WOct 4 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.4411811113D. Kuzmenko2.63511951WSep 30 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.7371112113O. Syksa2.001151051WSep 30 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.501181013112A. Vasylets2.508111211133WSep 30 · 07:00O. Lyman2.63961151A. Vasylets1.4411119113WSep 30 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.611111113S. Maliuk2.207670LSep 30 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.281111113A. Vasylets3.507680
O. Kurylenko10
LOct 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.334970S. Chuhai1.201111113WOct 6 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.25811451O. Kurylenko1.3311711113WOct 6 · 10:00O. Kurylenko1.7311118113D. Kuzmenko2.00371191WOct 6 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.831281071O. Kurylenko1.83101112113LOct 6 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25421211113O. Kurylenko1.57111110792WOct 6 · 05:00O. Lyman2.251114891O. Kurylenko1.5791611113WOct 5 · 11:00O. Ziakun1.9110330O. Kurylenko1.801211113WOct 5 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.3361111392O. Kurylenko3.25119911113LOct 5 · 08:30O. Syksa1.6711811113O. Kurylenko2.10811761WSep 30 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.281111113A. Vasylets3.507680
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