TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Vasylets vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811119115––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched: 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Andrii Vasylets at 68.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 16–10 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5868.1%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 1.2pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vasylets
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Vasylets
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1676 vs Kuzmenko 1460
Vasylets
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 80% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Vasylets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 80% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Vasylets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +4 · Kuzmenko +1
Vasylets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Vasylets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.444 / Kuzmenko 2.625
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Vasylets)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240535
Vasylets1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 30)
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 33 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Kuzmenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 02)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 110 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back17% 29 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets5wins
AwayKuzmenko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets71.4%5 of 7
AwayKuzmenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets7Kuzmenko3n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S2Vasylets5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Vasylets4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Vasylets3Kuzmenko4n = 7Kuzmenko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsKuzmenkoV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.136.0+0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 514 vs 404 / 96145.1%42%232 / 514 vs 404 / 961Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsVasylets 1.44/Kuzmenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets331111113D. Kuzmenko205870
WSep 9 · 07:30A. Vasylets3911116113D. Kuzmenko27641161
LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets3711610101D. Kuzmenko4381112123
LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets44114127102D. Kuzmenko539111011123
LAug 22 · 14:30A. Vasylets37811991D. Kuzmenko4211911113
WAug 16 · 14:00A. Vasylets341211113D. Kuzmenko2410950
LJul 25 · 16:00A. Vasylets26511461D. Kuzmenko3911611113
WJul 18 · 14:00A. Vasylets50117912113D. Kuzmenko50911111092
WJul 11 · 17:28A. Vasylets3711411113D. Kuzmenko29711831
LJul 11 · 15:00A. Vasylets249870D. Kuzmenko331111113
A. Vasylets10
WSep 30 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.7371112113O. Syksa2.001151051WSep 30 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.501181013112A. Vasylets2.508111211133WSep 30 · 07:00O. Lyman2.63961151A. Vasylets1.4411119113WSep 30 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.611111113S. Maliuk2.207670LSep 30 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.281111113A. Vasylets3.507680LSep 26 · 17:34A. Vasylets1.8069111182O. Kurylenko1.91111196113WSep 26 · 15:30O. Kurylenko3.50471121A. Vasylets1.2811113113WSep 26 · 14:30A. Vasylets1.671111123O. Lyman2.1096100WSep 26 · 13:30D. Prylepa1.83111371A. Vasylets1.8311911113WSep 26 · 12:30A. Vasylets2.5011112113M. Hubenko1.50681151
D. Kuzmenko10
LOct 4 · 13:00S. Aristarkhov1.401113119113D. Kuzmenko2.7571571162WOct 2 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko2.50711781D. Kuzmenko1.5011911113LOct 2 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.44111241072O. Lyman2.638101112113LOct 2 · 08:00O. Ziakun2.00511411113D. Kuzmenko1.7311911782WOct 2 · 06:00O. Syksa1.734870D. Kuzmenko2.001111113LOct 2 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57611112113D. Kuzmenko2.2511681152LOct 1 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko3.00121111552M. Hubenko1.361013911113LOct 1 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.611111113D. Kuzmenko2.209940WOct 1 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.003890D. Kuzmenko1.731111113WOct 1 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko1.501112113S. Miroshnychenko2.5091090
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