TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Kurylenko vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113117811119––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Oleh Kurylenko @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 56.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 99–70 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 70 of their 169 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:5856.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kurylenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
99-70 in 169
Kurylenko
Correct
gap of 29 in 169, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1553 vs Kuzmenko 1428
Kurylenko
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 80% vs Kuzmenko 20%
Kurylenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 50% vs Kuzmenko 30%
Kurylenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +1 · Kuzmenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Kurylenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.727 / Kuzmenko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kurylenko)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13250591
Kurylenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 156 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it90% 73 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it81% 110 of 136
Kuzmenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 110 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back17% 29 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko5wins
AwayKuzmenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko100%5 of 5
AwayKuzmenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurylenko5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurylenko5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurylenko1Kuzmenko4n = 5Kuzmenko took 4 of 5
S5Kurylenko2Kuzmenko1n = 3Kurylenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoKuzmenkoKurylenko − KuzmenkoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.734.8+0.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime500 / 1008 vs 402 / 95949.6%41.9%500 / 1008 vs 402 / 959Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.73/Kuzmenko 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Oleh Kurylenko @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
3–1
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2889110D. Kuzmenko351111133
WSep 25 · 06:30O. Kurylenko491111610113D. Kuzmenko4247111282
WSep 24 · 07:00O. Kurylenko521191110113D. Kuzmenko4151171262
LSep 22 · 11:30O. Kurylenko47911111062D. Kuzmenko48116812113
WSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko331111113D. Kuzmenko238780
LSep 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko2578100D. Kuzmenko341111123
LSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko26511551D. Kuzmenko4211911113
WSep 14 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3911611113D. Kuzmenko30711571
LSep 11 · 05:30O. Kurylenko2511770D. Kuzmenko351311113
WSep 7 · 05:30O. Kurylenko331111113D. Kuzmenko185670
O. Kurylenko10
WOct 6 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.831281071O. Kurylenko1.83101112113LOct 6 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25421211113O. Kurylenko1.57111110792WOct 6 · 05:00O. Lyman2.251114891O. Kurylenko1.5791611113WOct 5 · 11:00O. Ziakun1.9110330O. Kurylenko1.801211113WOct 5 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.3361111392O. Kurylenko3.25119911113LOct 5 · 08:30O. Syksa1.6711811113O. Kurylenko2.10811761LOct 5 · 06:30O. Lyman2.1011116113O. Kurylenko1.67661171LOct 5 · 04:30S. Maliuk1.831418113O. Kurylenko1.83121660WSep 30 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.83671113113S. Maliuk1.83111191122LSep 30 · 09:30O. Lyman2.20117111113O. Kurylenko1.6191111382
D. Kuzmenko10
WOct 6 · 08:30O. Lyman2.506270D. Kuzmenko1.501111113LOct 6 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.50111178133D. Kuzmenko1.50681111112LOct 6 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101211113D. Kuzmenko1.6710870LOct 4 · 16:00O. Syksa1.671211113D. Kuzmenko2.1010570LOct 4 · 14:30M. Hubenko1.36111152D. Kuzmenko3.007781LOct 4 · 13:00S. Aristarkhov1.401113119113D. Kuzmenko2.7571571162LOct 4 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.4411811113D. Kuzmenko2.63511951WOct 2 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko2.50711781D. Kuzmenko1.5011911113LOct 2 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.44111241072O. Lyman2.638101112113LOct 2 · 08:00O. Ziakun2.00511411113D. Kuzmenko1.7311911782
Upcoming Matches
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