TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Andrii Vasylets 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118911611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 34–22 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 22 of their 56 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Hubenko beat Vasylets 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.533 / Vasylets 2.375
Setka Cup · #13244943
Hubenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 255 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it93% 131 of 141
Up 1–0, closes it81% 181 of 224
Vasylets2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 56 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko5wins
AwayVasylets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko60%3 of 5
AwayVasylets60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko7Vasylets3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Hubenko6Vasylets4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Hubenko4Vasylets2n = 6Hubenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoVasyletsH − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.135.3+3.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 1057 vs 233 / 51454.4%45.3%575 / 1057 vs 233 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.53/Vasylets 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WOct 4 · 13:30M. Hubenko4131411133A. Vasylets4011126111
LSep 30 · 07:30M. Hubenko531181013112A. Vasylets558111211133
LSep 26 · 12:30M. Hubenko30681151A. Vasylets3511112113
WSep 22 · 17:00M. Hubenko331111113A. Vasylets165470
WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko331111113A. Vasylets175480
WSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko3811115113A. Vasylets33491191
LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko4612117882A. Vasylets511081111113
M. Hubenko10
WOct 4 · 15:30S. Aristarkhov1.9112119111M. Hubenko1.8014911133WOct 4 · 14:30M. Hubenko1.36111152D. Kuzmenko3.007781WOct 4 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.5011126111M. Hubenko1.5031411133WOct 4 · 12:30M. Hubenko1.361111113O. Syksa3.008660WOct 1 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko3.00121111552M. Hubenko1.361013911113WOct 1 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.1711118133S. Miroshnychenko4.505411111WOct 1 · 08:00O. Syksa2.5021080M. Hubenko1.501112113WOct 1 · 06:00O. Ziakun3.006890M. Hubenko1.361111113LOct 1 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.38961114113M. Hubenko1.53111111282WSep 30 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.3361111113O. Lyman3.25114691
A. Vasylets10
WOct 4 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.50312641A. Vasylets2.5011101153WOct 4 · 15:00A. Vasylets1.501111103O. Syksa2.507790LOct 4 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.5011126111M. Hubenko1.5031411133WOct 4 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.4411811113D. Kuzmenko2.63511951WSep 30 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.7371112113O. Syksa2.001151051WSep 30 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.501181013112A. Vasylets2.508111211133WSep 30 · 07:00O. Lyman2.63961151A. Vasylets1.4411119113WSep 30 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.611111113S. Maliuk2.207670LSep 30 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.281111113A. Vasylets3.507680LSep 26 · 17:34A. Vasylets1.8069111182O. Kurylenko1.91111196113
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