Jiri Stary vs Jiri Jira 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Jiri Stary

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 7

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 7

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1181185111012711

Jiri Jira

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched: 55.3% is still 55.3%

Graded at full time

Jiri Stary to win

55.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJiri Stary above · Jiri Jira below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 10-12

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 94 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Jiri Stary at 55.3%

94 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Stary 10–4 Jiri Jira Jiri Jira has won 4 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Stary

Stary 1.73/Jira 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.3%

Stary · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Jira won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:28

55.3%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 2.6pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Stary

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

10-4 in 14

Stary

Wrong

gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Stary 903 vs Jira 1011

Jira

Correct

both rated, 108 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stary 0% vs Jira 60%

Jira

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stary 20% vs Jira 40%

Jira

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Stary -7 · Jira +3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Stary) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stary: form 0%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStary 1.727 / Jira 2.00

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Stary)-2.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStary6wins

AwayJira4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderStary leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStary60%3 of 5

AwayJira40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stary5Jira5n = 10split evenly

S2Stary8Jira2n = 10Stary took 8 of 10

S3Stary5Jira5n = 10split evenly

S4Stary4Jira5n = 9Jira took 5 of 9

S5Stary2Jira2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricStaryJiraS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.739.8−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStaryJiraBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 130 vs 59 / 14236.9%41.6%48 / 130 vs 59 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13279903

Stary1.73

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 7

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite31% won 4 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it33% 2 of 6

Jira2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog35% won 7 of 20

Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Jiri Stary vs Jiri Jira 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jiri Stary vs Jiri Jira 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.