Jiri Jira vs Vladimir Kubat 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Jiri Jira

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

8111151311116––

Vladimir Kubat

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 8

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 8

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:53 and never touched: 58.1% is still 58.1%

Graded at full time

Vladimir Kubat to win

58.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJiri Jira above · Vladimir Kubat below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 76 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Vladimir Kubat at 58.1%

76 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Jira 12–13 Vladimir Kubat Jiri Jira has won 12 of their 25 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kubat

Jira 2.20/Kubat 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.1%

Kubat · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Jira won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:53

58.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 3.8pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Kubat

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

12-13 in 25

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Jira 992 vs Kubat 960

Jira

Correct

both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Jira 40% vs Kubat 0%

Jira

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Jira 30% vs Kubat 10%

Jira

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Jira +2 · Kubat -8

Kubat

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Kubat) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kubat: form 0%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJira 2.20 / Kubat 1.615

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Kubat)-3.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeJira4wins

AwayKubat6wins

1 of 10 to a deciderKubat leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJira100%3 of 3

AwayKubat85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Jira3Kubat7n = 10Kubat took 7 of 10

S2Jira4Kubat6n = 10Kubat took 6 of 10

S3Jira3Kubat7n = 10Kubat took 7 of 10

S4Jira3Kubat3n = 6split evenly

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricJiraKubatJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.236.9−5.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJiraKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 140 vs 104 / 26240.7%39.7%57 / 140 vs 104 / 262Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.2per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13278790

Jira2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 77 days ago (Jul 27) · back after a break

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog35% won 7 of 20

Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Kubat1.61

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

Lost last 8

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite61% won 19 of 31

Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it100% 15 of 15

Jiri Jira vs Vladimir Kubat 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jiri Jira vs Vladimir Kubat 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.