TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Zdenek Muhlhauser vs Simon Holik 2-3 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 4 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811114119911811
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingZdenek Muhlhauser above · Simon Holik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-5
Point 65 set 4, 6-5
65 points drawn · the score is 28 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Zdenek Muhlhauser 3–1 Simon Holik Simon Holik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Muhlhauser beat Holik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holik form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuhlhauser 1.85 / Holik 1.85
TT Cup · #13274826
Muhlhauser1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Holik1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMuhlhauser3wins
AwayHolik1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMuhlhauser leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuhlhauser100%3 of 3
AwayHolikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muhlhauser3Holik1n = 4Muhlhauser took 3 of 4
S2Muhlhauser4Holik0n = 4Muhlhauser took 4 of 4
S3Muhlhauser1Holik3n = 4Holik took 3 of 4
S4Muhlhauser2Holik1n = 3Muhlhauser took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMuhlhauserHolikM − HBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match44.041.0+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuhlhauserHolikBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 138 vs 114 / 20949.3%54.6%68 / 138 vs 114 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HolikMuhlhauser 1.85/Holik 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Holik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WOct 10 · 11:55Z. Muhlhauser501111125113S. Holik4767141192
WSep 25 · 20:25Z. Muhlhauser391511133S. Holik31137110
WJul 27 · 18:30Z. Muhlhauser44111111113S. Holik35961371
LJul 27 · 16:55Z. Muhlhauser4391161162S. Holik51119119113
Z. Muhlhauser10
LOct 10 · 13:25Z. Muhlhauser2.2011116792J. Sebl1.61481111113WOct 10 · 11:55S. Holik1.9167141192Z. Muhlhauser1.801111125113LOct 10 · 11:25J. Dohnal2.1081115143Z. Muhlhauser1.6711713121WOct 5 · 17:59Z. Muhlhauser1.50129911113P. Kubat2.50101111252WOct 5 · 16:55P. Kubat2.38118861Z. Muhlhauser1.5361111113LOct 5 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.9111149113Z. Muhlhauser1.807121151LOct 5 · 15:25Z. Muhlhauser1.67111111482P. Vodal2.10136211113WSep 28 · 09:55A. Brandtl Jr1.616121151Z. Muhlhauser2.2011146113LSep 28 · 09:25Z. Muhlhauser1.839450A. Brandtl Jr1.831111113LSep 28 · 07:55T. Cerveny Jr1.83911612113Z. Muhlhauser1.83119111062
S. Holik10
LOct 10 · 12:55S. Holik1.8311101181J. Dohnal1.8371213113LOct 10 · 11:55S. Holik1.9167141192Z. Muhlhauser1.801111125113WOct 10 · 10:55S. Holik2.0051111123J. Sebl1.731188101LSep 25 · 22:05S. Holik1.7361181142J. Dohnal2.00117114113LSep 25 · 21:25D. Pasek2.00111111143S. Holik1.731396121LSep 25 · 20:25S. Holik1.83137110Z. Muhlhauser1.831511133WSep 25 · 18:55J. Dohnal1.839980S. Holik1.831111113WSep 25 · 13:55F. Dvorak1.671173101S. Holik2.1071111123WSep 25 · 12:20T. Cerveny Jr2.10711111182S. Holik1.67111347113WSep 25 · 11:50T. Rein2.50921181S. Holik1.5011118113
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