TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ruslan Serhyenko vs Yevhen Bielokon 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711119511711
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched: 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeYevhen Bielokon to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Serhyenko above · Yevhen Bielokon below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Yevhen Bielokon at 62.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Serhyenko 37–62 Yevhen Bielokon Ruslan Serhyenko has won 37 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5962.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.8pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bielokon
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
37-62 in 99
Bielokon
Correct
gap of 25 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serhyenko 1214 vs Bielokon 1223
Bielokon
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serhyenko 60% vs Bielokon 20%
Serhyenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serhyenko 60% vs Bielokon 20%
Serhyenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serhyenko -2 · Bielokon -4
Bielokon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Bielokon) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bielokon form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerhyenko 2.50 / Bielokon 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Bielokon)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13251276
Serhyenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 60
Bielokon1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 48 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerhyenko3wins
AwayBielokon7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBielokon leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerhyenko50%3 of 6
AwayBielokon100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serhyenko6Bielokon4n = 10Serhyenko took 6 of 10
S2Serhyenko2Bielokon8n = 10Bielokon took 8 of 10
S3Serhyenko4Bielokon6n = 10Bielokon took 6 of 10
S4Serhyenko2Bielokon5n = 7Bielokon took 5 of 7
S5Serhyenko1Bielokon2n = 3Bielokon took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerhyenkoBielokonS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.741.0−5.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerhyenkoBielokonBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 573 vs 257 / 54344.2%47.3%253 / 573 vs 257 / 543Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BielokonSerhyenko 2.50/Bielokon 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Bielokon · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bielokon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 15:05R. Serhyenko4111711572Y. Bielokon51911911113
LSep 18 · 18:35R. Serhyenko431197161Y. Bielokon4881111183
WSep 11 · 15:05R. Serhyenko4213711113Y. Bielokon321111371
LSep 8 · 19:05R. Serhyenko257990Y. Bielokon331111113
LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko4011117562Y. Bielokon45571111113
LAug 27 · 18:25R. Serhyenko30471181Y. Bielokon3911116113
WAug 21 · 15:05R. Serhyenko46111185113Y. Bielokon4378111162
LAug 16 · 18:55R. Serhyenko2311660Y. Bielokon351311113
WAug 6 · 15:05R. Serhyenko4913412203Y. Bielokon50111110181
LAug 4 · 19:05R. Serhyenko1851030Y. Bielokon341112113
R. Serhyenko10
LOct 6 · 18:35V. Sydorenko1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.505970LOct 6 · 17:35R. Serhyenko2.6311119942V. Slabyshev1.44941111113LOct 6 · 16:35R. Serhyenko1.61101070A. Azarov2.201212113LOct 6 · 13:05R. Serhyenko3.751113121272D. Boltenkov1.2513111014113LOct 5 · 19:05V. Reva1.801111113R. Serhyenko1.919760WOct 5 · 18:05H. Buianover3.004970R. Serhyenko1.361111113WOct 5 · 16:35V. Lukianevych3.25814851R. Serhyenko1.33111211113WOct 5 · 14:35A. Azarov2.00961141R. Serhyenko1.7311119113WOct 5 · 12:35M. Karelov2.0081070R. Serhyenko1.731112113LOct 1 · 19:05V. Reva1.8311811113R. Serhyenko1.83911951
Y. Bielokon10
LOct 6 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.839970A. Azarov1.831111113LOct 6 · 17:05V. Sydorenko1.80811311113Y. Bielokon1.9111311562LOct 6 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.388870D. Boltenkov1.531111113LOct 6 · 13:35Y. Bielokon3.7511970V. Slabyshev1.251311113LOct 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko1.801111113Y. Bielokon1.916640LOct 1 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.257980V. Chumak1.571111113LOct 1 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.5010670V. Slabyshev1.501211113WOct 1 · 15:55Y. Bielokon1.5751111113V. Husiev2.25118691LOct 1 · 13:55Y. Bielokon2.10113751D. Boltenkov1.6781111113LSep 23 · 20:25Y. Bielokon2.6348130I. Yelfimov1.441111153
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