TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhen Bielokon vs Artem Azarov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11811610121210––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:58 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeArtem Azarov to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Artem Azarov @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 80 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Artem Azarov at 54.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 3–6 Artem Azarov Yevhen Bielokon has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:5854.9%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 5.1pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Azarov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Azarov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1196 vs Azarov 1279
Azarov
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 0% vs Azarov 80%
Azarov
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 10% vs Azarov 60%
Azarov
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -7 · Azarov +2
Bielokon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Azarov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Azarov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.10 / Azarov 1.666
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Azarov)-5.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13256127
Bielokon2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 43 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Azarov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 7 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBielokon3wins
AwayAzarov6wins
7 of 9 to a deciderAzarov leads 6–3, and 7 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokonn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAzarov71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon2Azarov7n = 9Azarov took 7 of 9
S2Bielokon4Azarov5n = 9Azarov took 5 of 9
S3Bielokon5Azarov4n = 9Bielokon took 5 of 9
S4Bielokon6Azarov2n = 8Bielokon took 6 of 8
S5Bielokon2Azarov5n = 7Azarov took 5 of 7
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away556%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricBielokonAzarovB − ABasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match43.443.8−0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 547 vs 28 / 7247%38.9%257 / 547 vs 28 / 72Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AzarovBielokon 2.10/Azarov 1.67
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Azarov · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Artem Azarov @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Bielokon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 6 · 19:05Y. Bielokon259970A. Azarov331111113
WSep 18 · 16:35Y. Bielokon51111188133A. Azarov48871111112
LSep 17 · 17:05Y. Bielokon3961181132A. Azarov41111117113
LSep 11 · 16:35Y. Bielokon561112129122A. Azarov589141011143
LSep 3 · 18:35Y. Bielokon3421161142A. Azarov43117113113
LSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon50912111172A. Azarov44111444113
WAug 27 · 19:25Y. Bielokon47861111113A. Azarov4111119192
LAug 26 · 15:05Y. Bielokon4267111172A. Azarov44111147113
WAug 16 · 17:25Y. Bielokon47121112123A. Azarov4214810101
Y. Bielokon10
LOct 7 · 17:35D. Boltenkov1.441111113Y. Bielokon2.639950LOct 7 · 15:35V. Slabyshev1.14811157113Y. Bielokon5.00119131122LOct 7 · 14:35Y. Bielokon1.911511791V. Sydorenko1.8017911113LOct 7 · 13:35V. Chumak1.2511116113Y. Bielokon3.75961191LOct 6 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.839970A. Azarov1.831111113LOct 6 · 17:05V. Sydorenko1.80811311113Y. Bielokon1.9111311562LOct 6 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.388870D. Boltenkov1.531111113WOct 6 · 15:05R. Serhyenko2.5011711572Y. Bielokon1.50911911113LOct 6 · 13:35Y. Bielokon3.7511970V. Slabyshev1.251311113LOct 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko1.801111113Y. Bielokon1.916640
A. Azarov10
WOct 7 · 18:05A. Azarov2.381111123V. Sydorenko1.5347100WOct 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.22111198112A. Azarov4.00681111133LOct 7 · 14:05V. Slabyshev1.171111113A. Azarov4.507480WOct 7 · 13:05D. Boltenkov1.287911111A. Azarov3.5011117133WOct 6 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.839970A. Azarov1.831111113LOct 6 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.2511713123A. Azarov3.7551111101WOct 6 · 16:35R. Serhyenko1.61101070A. Azarov2.201212113LOct 6 · 14:35V. Slabyshev1.2591111113A. Azarov3.75117931LOct 6 · 12:35V. Sydorenko1.611111123A. Azarov2.2082100WOct 5 · 19:35A. Azarov1.4491111113H. Buianover2.63112831
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