TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhen Bielokon vs Vitalii Husiev 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511118116119––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:40 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeYevhen Bielokon to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Vitalii Husiev below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Yevhen Bielokon at 59.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 34–19 Vitalii Husiev Vitalii Husiev has won 19 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:4059.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Bielokon
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
34-19 in 53
Bielokon
Correct
gap of 15 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1269 vs Husiev 1230
Bielokon
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 20% vs Husiev 0%
Bielokon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 40% vs Husiev 20%
Bielokon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -4 · Husiev -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Bielokon) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Husiev form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 1.571 / Husiev 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Bielokon)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223538
Bielokon1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 48 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it83% 24 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it68% 32 of 47
Husiev2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 39 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back25% 20 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon6wins
AwayHusiev4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBielokon leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon71.4%5 of 7
AwayHusiev66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon7Husiev3n = 10Bielokon took 7 of 10
S2Bielokon6Husiev4n = 10Bielokon took 6 of 10
S3Bielokon3Husiev7n = 10Husiev took 7 of 10
S4Bielokon4Husiev5n = 9Husiev took 5 of 9
S5Bielokon4Husiev2n = 6Bielokon took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonHusievB − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.742.2+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonHusievBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 543 vs 189 / 50147.5%37.7%258 / 543 vs 189 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BielokonBielokon 1.57/Husiev 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Bielokon · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bielokon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 13:25Y. Bielokon28124751V. Husiev43101111113
WJul 12 · 15:05Y. Bielokon341112113V. Husiev2571080
WJun 10 · 19:05Y. Bielokon47111177113V. Husiev4393111192
WJun 3 · 18:35Y. Bielokon5711131111113V. Husiev5181513692
WMay 27 · 15:05Y. Bielokon45111110133V. Husiev387812111
LMay 25 · 17:35Y. Bielokon531110131182V. Husiev47712152113
WMay 22 · 08:25Y. Bielokon51911119113V. Husiev3811371162
LMay 21 · 16:05Y. Bielokon396131191V. Husiev4411157113
WMay 19 · 16:05Y. Bielokon52111389113V. Husiev41211111162
LMay 1 · 17:35Y. Bielokon511011911102V. Husiev52128119123
Y. Bielokon10
LOct 1 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.5010670V. Slabyshev1.501211113LOct 1 · 13:55Y. Bielokon2.10113751D. Boltenkov1.6781111113LSep 23 · 20:25Y. Bielokon2.6348130I. Yelfimov1.441111153LSep 23 · 18:25V. Slabyshev1.83111110113Y. Bielokon1.83771251LSep 23 · 16:25O. Korobov1.3611812113Y. Bielokon3.008111031WSep 23 · 15:25Y. Bielokon1.831211113V. Sydorenko1.8310680LSep 23 · 14:25V. Chumak1.6111118113Y. Bielokon2.20671171WSep 18 · 18:35R. Serhyenko2.501197161Y. Bielokon1.5081111183LSep 18 · 17:35Y. Bielokon2.2087111152V. Chumak1.6111118373WSep 18 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.83111188133A. Azarov1.83871111112
V. Husiev10
LOct 1 · 16:55V. Husiev2.5011650D. Boltenkov1.501311113LOct 1 · 14:25V. Husiev2.7511931162V. Chumak1.40911119113LSep 25 · 19:35V. Husiev4.00781171V. Kaganovych1.2211115113LSep 25 · 17:35V. Sydorenko1.7312111011113V. Husiev2.00101312472LSep 25 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.831112113V. Husiev1.8391090LSep 25 · 14:35V. Husiev1.571151271A. Azarov2.25131110113LSep 25 · 13:35V. Chumak1.40118911113V. Husiev2.7571111992WAug 16 · 19:25V. Husiev1.6711811113A. Azarov2.10911951WAug 16 · 17:55V. Husiev2.25811511113I. Elfemov1.5711211752LAug 16 · 16:25V. Husiev3.75711411102A. Lifanov1.25112116123
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