TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhen Bielokon vs Ivan Yelfimov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4118111315––––
Ivan Yelfimov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Yelfimov to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Ivan Yelfimov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 62 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Ivan Yelfimov at 64.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 0–1 Ivan Yelfimov Yevhen Bielokon has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Yelfimov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1289 vs Yelfimov 1435
Yelfimov
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 40% vs Yelfimov 20%
Bielokon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 50% vs Yelfimov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -2 · Yelfimov -4
Yelfimov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Yelfimov) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yelfimov form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.63 / Yelfimov 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Yelfimov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13180265
Bielokon2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 45 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Yelfimov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBielokon0wins
AwayYelfimov1wins
Yelfimov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBielokonYelfimovB − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.040.0−14.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonYelfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 551 vs 11 / 1947.6%57.9%262 / 551 vs 11 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YelfimovBielokon 2.63/Yelfimov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Yelfimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yelfimov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 18 · 13:05Y. Bielokon26411561I. Yelfimov4011711113
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 23 · 18:25V. Slabyshev1.83111110113Y. Bielokon1.83771251LSep 23 · 16:25O. Korobov1.3611812113Y. Bielokon3.008111031WSep 23 · 15:25Y. Bielokon1.831211113V. Sydorenko1.8310680LSep 23 · 14:25V. Chumak1.6111118113Y. Bielokon2.20671171WSep 18 · 18:35R. Serhyenko2.501197161Y. Bielokon1.5081111183LSep 18 · 17:35Y. Bielokon2.2087111152V. Chumak1.6111118373WSep 18 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.83111188133A. Azarov1.83871111112WSep 18 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.38111194113D. Boltenkov1.5383111152LSep 18 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.38411561I. Yelfimov1.5311711113WSep 17 · 19:05Y. Bielokon2.75119411113D. Boltenkov1.4041111732
I. Yelfimov10
LSep 23 · 18:55I. Yelfimov1.4411114892V. Sydorenko2.63771111113LSep 23 · 16:55V. Chumak1.6711117113I. Yelfimov2.10691131LSep 23 · 14:55O. Korobov1.40111367113I. Yelfimov2.75111111182LSep 23 · 13:55V. Slabyshev3.00911115113I. Yelfimov1.3611771192WSep 22 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.8361560I. Yelfimov1.831117113LSep 22 · 18:55I. Yelfimov2.50116991A. Lifanov1.5051111113WSep 22 · 16:55A. Yakovenko1.4411981162I. Yelfimov2.63911119113WSep 22 · 14:55V. Kaganovych1.534780I. Yelfimov2.381111113WSep 22 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.8056120I. Yelfimov1.911111143WSep 18 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.38411561I. Yelfimov1.5311711113
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