TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Yelfimov vs Vitalii Sydorenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Ivan Yelfimov
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117117411811911
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Yelfimov to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Yelfimov above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Yelfimov at 64.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Yelfimov 0–1 Vitalii Sydorenko Ivan Yelfimov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Yelfimov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Yelfimov 1435 vs Sydorenko 1291
Yelfimov
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yelfimov 20% vs Sydorenko 40%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yelfimov 40% vs Sydorenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yelfimov -3 · Sydorenko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Yelfimov) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yelfimov form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYelfimov 1.44 / Sydorenko 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Yelfimov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13180269
Yelfimov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sydorenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 84 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeYelfimov0wins
AwaySydorenko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSydorenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricYelfimovSydorenkoY − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.047.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYelfimovSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 19 vs 249 / 57157.9%43.6%11 / 19 vs 249 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YelfimovYelfimov 1.44/Sydorenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Yelfimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 23 · 18:55I. Yelfimov4311114892V. Sydorenko47771111113
I. Yelfimov10
LSep 23 · 16:55V. Chumak1.6711117113I. Yelfimov2.10691131LSep 23 · 14:55O. Korobov1.40111367113I. Yelfimov2.75111111182LSep 23 · 13:55V. Slabyshev3.00911115113I. Yelfimov1.3611771192WSep 22 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.8361560I. Yelfimov1.831117113LSep 22 · 18:55I. Yelfimov2.50116991A. Lifanov1.5051111113WSep 22 · 16:55A. Yakovenko1.4411981162I. Yelfimov2.63911119113WSep 22 · 14:55V. Kaganovych1.534780I. Yelfimov2.381111113WSep 22 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.8056120I. Yelfimov1.911111143LSep 21 · 18:35I. Yelfimov1.911151161V. Sharpai1.8013116113LSep 21 · 17:05I. Yelfimov2.50611841A. Lifanov1.5011611113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 23 · 17:25V. Slabyshev1.831051111113V. Sydorenko1.8312116652LSep 23 · 15:25Y. Bielokon1.831211113V. Sydorenko1.8310680LSep 23 · 13:25O. Korobov1.28111110113V. Sydorenko3.50351261WSep 17 · 19:35V. Chumak1.5767111142V. Sydorenko2.25111199113WSep 17 · 18:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113D. Boltenkov1.449790LSep 17 · 16:05Y. Bielokon1.8371211113V. Sydorenko1.831110391WSep 17 · 14:05A. Azarov1.61119591V. Sydorenko2.2081111113LSep 17 · 13:05V. Leonov1.73111111113V. Sydorenko2.00134661LSep 14 · 19:05V. Sharpai1.281111133V. Sydorenko3.5087110LSep 14 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.367111011113V. Sydorenko3.0011712372
Upcoming Matches
I. Yelfimov
Nothing scheduled
V. Sydorenko
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