TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadim Reva vs Ruslan Serhyenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811119115––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Ruslan Serhyenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 75 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Vadim Reva at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 1–0 Ruslan Serhyenko Ruslan Serhyenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:5654.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Serhyenko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Reva 1294 vs Serhyenko 1239
Reva
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 60% vs Serhyenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 60% vs Serhyenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva +3 · Serhyenko +2
Reva
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Reva) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 1.833 / Serhyenko 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Reva)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13223943
Reva1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Serhyenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeReva1wins
AwaySerhyenko0wins
Reva leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRevaSerhyenkoR − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.035.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaSerhyenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 389 vs 253 / 57155.3%44.3%215 / 389 vs 253 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RevaReva 1.83/Serhyenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Reva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 22 · 14:35V. Reva46111014113R. Serhyenko355121261
V. Reva10
WOct 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych2.2071050V. Reva1.611112113WOct 1 · 16:05V. Reva2.1014911113A. Azarov1.671211681WOct 1 · 15:05V. Leonov1.25106111192V. Reva3.75121169113LOct 1 · 13:35V. Reva1.73711014102H. Buianover2.001181112123LSep 22 · 19:35V. Reva1.83111215482H. Buianover1.8313101311113WSep 22 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.109640V. Reva1.671111113WSep 22 · 15:35A. Sydorenko1.5771090V. Reva2.251112113WSep 22 · 14:35V. Reva2.00111014113R. Serhyenko1.735121261LSep 22 · 13:35M. Karelov2.0011146123V. Reva1.7391211101LSep 16 · 19:35V. Reva1.6710411111M. Karelov2.1012116133
R. Serhyenko10
WOct 1 · 18:05A. Azarov1.8371141152R. Serhyenko1.83116117113WOct 1 · 16:35V. Leonov2.252101181R. Serhyenko1.5711126113LOct 1 · 14:35H. Buianover4.501211113R. Serhyenko1.1710750WOct 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.2073140R. Serhyenko1.611111163LSep 22 · 19:05M. Karelov2.38361211113R. Serhyenko1.53111110882WSep 22 · 18:05H. Buianover4.007690R. Serhyenko1.221111113WSep 22 · 16:35V. Lukianevych2.1011711342R. Serhyenko1.67711711113LSep 22 · 14:35V. Reva2.00111014113R. Serhyenko1.735121261WSep 22 · 12:35A. Sydorenko3.758820R. Serhyenko1.251111113LSep 18 · 18:35R. Serhyenko2.501197161Y. Bielokon1.5081111183
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