TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhen Bielokon vs Valentyn Chumak 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911811––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeValentyn Chumak to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Valentyn Chumak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Valentyn Chumak at 61.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 33–35 Valentyn Chumak Yevhen Bielokon has won 33 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:2061.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 2.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Chumak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
33-35 in 68
Chumak
Correct
gap of 2 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1272 vs Chumak 1489
Chumak
Correct
both rated, 217 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 20% vs Chumak 80%
Chumak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 30% vs Chumak 80%
Chumak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -1 · Chumak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Chumak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chumak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.25 / Chumak 1.571
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Chumak)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223777
Bielokon2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Chumak1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 64 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it71% 41 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon3wins
AwayChumak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChumak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon25%1 of 4
AwayChumak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon4Chumak6n = 10Chumak took 6 of 10
S2Bielokon1Chumak9n = 10Chumak took 9 of 10
S3Bielokon5Chumak5n = 10split evenly
S4Bielokon4Chumak5n = 9Chumak took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonChumakB − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.940.6−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonChumakBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 545 vs 291 / 55247.5%52.7%259 / 545 vs 291 / 552Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ChumakBielokon 2.25/Chumak 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Chumak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chumak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 23 · 14:25Y. Bielokon31671171V. Chumak4111118113
WSep 17 · 13:35Y. Bielokon44101111123V. Chumak341248101
LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon381213671V. Chumak47101511113
LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon30119371V. Chumak3961111113
LJul 6 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2581070V. Chumak341112113
WJun 22 · 13:35Y. Bielokon47661311113V. Chumak47111111772
LJun 18 · 17:05Y. Bielokon33116791V. Chumak4071111113
WJun 16 · 13:35Y. Bielokon46117611113V. Chumak4581111692
LJun 10 · 13:35Y. Bielokon291041141V. Chumak3812114113
Y. Bielokon10
LOct 1 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.5010670V. Slabyshev1.501211113WOct 1 · 15:55Y. Bielokon1.5751111113V. Husiev2.25118691LOct 1 · 13:55Y. Bielokon2.10113751D. Boltenkov1.6781111113LSep 23 · 20:25Y. Bielokon2.6348130I. Yelfimov1.441111153LSep 23 · 18:25V. Slabyshev1.83111110113Y. Bielokon1.83771251LSep 23 · 16:25O. Korobov1.3611812113Y. Bielokon3.008111031WSep 23 · 15:25Y. Bielokon1.831211113V. Sydorenko1.8310680LSep 23 · 14:25V. Chumak1.6111118113Y. Bielokon2.20671171WSep 18 · 18:35R. Serhyenko2.501197161Y. Bielokon1.5081111183LSep 18 · 17:35Y. Bielokon2.2087111152V. Chumak1.6111118373
V. Chumak10
LOct 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.101111123V. Chumak1.6768100WOct 1 · 15:25V. Chumak1.6711127113V. Slabyshev2.106101171WOct 1 · 14:25V. Husiev2.7511931162V. Chumak1.40911119113WSep 30 · 19:35V. Chumak1.80961211113D. Boltenkov1.91111110952WSep 30 · 17:35I. Yelfimov2.2511513562V. Chumak1.572111111113WSep 30 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.67811361V. Chumak2.1011911113WSep 30 · 14:35V. Chumak1.731112113V. Slabyshev2.0051070LSep 30 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.4411712113V. Chumak2.639111081WSep 23 · 14:25V. Chumak1.6111118113Y. Bielokon2.20671171WSep 18 · 17:35Y. Bielokon2.2087111152V. Chumak1.6111118373
Upcoming Matches
Y. Bielokon
Nothing scheduled
V. Chumak
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