TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jirasek Martin vs Jan Kabelka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12107118111171210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kabelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Jan Kabelka at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 1–2 Jan Kabelka Jirasek Martin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kabelka
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martin 1485 vs Kabelka 1443
Martin
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 20% vs Kabelka 40%
Kabelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 30% vs Kabelka 50%
Kabelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +1 · Kabelka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kabelka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kabelka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.83 / Kabelka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kabelka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13215992
Martin1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kabelka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMartin1wins
AwayKabelka2wins
Kabelka leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martin1Kabelka2n = 3Kabelka took 2 of 3
S2Martin1Kabelka2n = 3Kabelka took 2 of 3
S3Martin1Kabelka2n = 3Kabelka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMartinKabelkaM − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match30.036.3−6.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 118 vs 142 / 28952.5%49.1%62 / 118 vs 142 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KabelkaMartin 1.83/Kabelka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kabelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 25 · 19:05J. Martin184590J. Kabelka331111113
WAug 20 · 21:04J. Martin4151111143J. Kabelka341174121
LAug 20 · 18:05J. Martin31116591J. Kabelka4291111113
J. Martin10
WSep 29 · 18:05J. Martin1.401111113M. Cyrus2.756790LSep 26 · 21:10L. Vana1.677111110113J. Martin2.1011971252LSep 26 · 20:35J. Martin2.25491361L. Vana1.57111111113LSep 26 · 19:05D. Hons1.80711116113J. Martin1.9111771182LSep 26 · 18:35K. Lahodny1.83961111113J. Martin1.8311119952LSep 26 · 17:05J. Martin1.331012791P. Pesout3.25121011113LSep 26 · 16:05J. Martin1.902460T. Motacek1.761111113LSep 26 · 15:05J. Martin1.7411511892M. Chmelicek1.95811411113WSep 26 · 14:05J. Martin1.501111113P. Pesout2.509740WSep 25 · 21:10J. Martin1.17141110113M. Jinek4.501271281
J. Kabelka10
LSep 29 · 18:35T. Krcil1.5311115113J. Kabelka2.38971141LSep 28 · 21:45L. Vosyka1.61111599113J. Kabelka2.20913111152WSep 28 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.731111113M. Chmelicek2.006670LSep 28 · 19:05J. Kabelka2.10119591L. Vosyka1.6771111113WSep 28 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.501111113R. Hruby2.507450WSep 25 · 21:39J. Kabelka2.25111197113R. Vavricka1.5789111172WSep 25 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.3613117113M. Jinek3.001191131WSep 25 · 19:05J. Martin1.574590J. Kabelka2.251111113LSep 25 · 18:35R. Vavricka1.6791311113J. Kabelka2.101111741LSep 22 · 21:35M. Chmelicek2.0011911113J. Kabelka1.73311981
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.