TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Patrik Muller vs Julius Krejcik 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210118911118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:59 and never touched: 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeJulius Krejcik to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Muller above · Julius Krejcik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Julius Krejcik at 70.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Muller 2–1 Julius Krejcik Julius Krejcik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Krejcik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Muller 1179 vs Krejcik 1355
Krejcik
Wrong
both rated, 176 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Muller 20% vs Krejcik 60%
Krejcik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Muller 30% vs Krejcik 50%
Krejcik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Muller -4 · Krejcik +1
Muller
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Krejcik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejcik form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 3.25 / Krejcik 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Krejcik)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13212949
Muller3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Krejcik1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMuller2wins
AwayKrejcik1wins
Muller leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muller2Krejcik1n = 3Muller took 2 of 3
S2Muller2Krejcik1n = 3Muller took 2 of 3
S3Muller0Krejcik3n = 3Krejcik took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMullerKrejcikM − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.335.0−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerKrejcikBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 169 vs 28 / 4844.4%58.3%75 / 169 vs 28 / 48Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KrejcikMuller 3.25/Krejcik 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Krejcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Muller won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 29 · 07:00P. Muller4312119113J. Krejcik371081181
LJun 26 · 12:58P. Muller184680J. Krejcik331111113
WJun 26 · 12:00P. Muller3911125113J. Krejcik358101161
P. Muller10
LSep 29 · 06:00P. Muller1.91105121192J. Vrnak1.801211104113LSep 24 · 12:43V. Kilian2.001111113P. Muller1.739640LSep 24 · 11:30T. Holomek1.801311113P. Muller1.9111790LSep 24 · 11:00P. Muller1.618540A. Akopyan2.201111113WSep 24 · 10:00P. Muller1.835111110113V. Kilian1.8311471222WSep 22 · 08:39P. Muller1.91191111113A. Skyba1.80217771LSep 22 · 07:30A. Skyba1.83127119113P. Muller1.83101151182WSep 22 · 07:00P. Muller1.671071211143A. Akopyan2.101211107122LSep 22 · 06:00P. Muller1.575740J. Vrnak2.251111113LSep 21 · 08:58L. Krutina1.36119117113P. Muller3.0051161142
J. Krejcik10
WSep 29 · 05:30A. Akopyan2.389660J. Krejcik1.531111113LSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113LSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100WAug 28 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.6111511113J. Jnr2.20711981
Upcoming Matches
P. Muller
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J. Krejcik
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