TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Josef Toth vs Alois Kanak 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlois Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Toth above · Alois Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Alois Kanak at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Josef Toth 9–10 Alois Kanak Josef Toth has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Toth 1196 vs Kanak 1198
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Toth 40% vs Kanak 60%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Toth 50% vs Kanak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Toth +1 · Kanak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kanak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Toth form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsToth 1.91 / Kanak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kanak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210957
Toth1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 28 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Kanak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 19 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeToth6wins
AwayKanak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderToth leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeToth100%5 of 5
AwayKanak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Toth5Kanak5n = 10split evenly
S2Toth4Kanak6n = 10Kanak took 6 of 10
S3Toth7Kanak3n = 10Toth took 7 of 10
S4Toth3Kanak2n = 5Toth took 3 of 5
S5Toth2Kanak2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTothKanakT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.0−1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTothKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 170 vs 121 / 25846.5%46.9%79 / 170 vs 121 / 258Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KanakToth 1.91/Kanak 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Toth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 21 · 06:30J. Toth47111195113A. Kanak4899111182
LSep 18 · 12:00J. Toth53177121162A. Kanak601911109113
WAug 23 · 08:30J. Toth331111113A. Kanak225980
LJul 26 · 12:58J. Toth219840A. Kanak331111113
WJul 26 · 12:30J. Toth341211113A. Kanak2410590
LFeb 19 · 21:30J. Toth3934141172A. Kanak531111128113
WFeb 10 · 09:58J. Toth461131110113A. Kanak4671191272
WFeb 10 · 09:30J. Toth4111811113A. Kanak32511971
LOct 19 · 06:06J. Toth239950A. Kanak331111113
J. Toth10
WSep 29 · 11:00J. Toth2.00111238113I. Palmi1.73610111172LSep 29 · 10:00Z. Luksa1.401111113J. Toth2.756760LSep 21 · 09:30M. Derco1.6111111110113J. Toth2.2097131242LSep 21 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.531112113J. Toth2.3871090WSep 21 · 07:30J. Toth2.7512612113M. Derco1.4010111091WSep 21 · 06:30A. Kanak1.7399111182J. Toth2.00111195113WSep 18 · 13:00J. Toth1.67118118113I. Kolenciak2.1061171182LSep 18 · 12:00A. Kanak1.831911109113J. Toth1.83177121162LSep 18 · 11:00I. Palmi1.8351111123J. Toth1.831185101WSep 18 · 10:30J. Toth2.001111113I. Kolenciak1.739930
A. Kanak10
WSep 29 · 11:30A. Kanak2.50711611113Z. Luksa1.5011311542WSep 29 · 10:30I. Palmi2.10101070A. Kanak1.671212113LSep 21 · 09:00A. Kanak1.915740Z. Luksa1.801111113LSep 21 · 08:00M. Derco1.7311312113A. Kanak2.004111051WSep 21 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.6181111972A. Kanak2.20119711113LSep 21 · 06:30A. Kanak1.7399111182J. Toth2.00111195113LSep 18 · 13:28I. Palmi2.20118811113A. Kanak1.6191111842WSep 18 · 12:00A. Kanak1.831911109113J. Toth1.83177121162LSep 18 · 11:30I. Kolenciak1.8011118113A. Kanak1.91881191WSep 18 · 10:00A. Kanak1.611191311113I. Palmi2.2081115872
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