TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Koral vs Marek Volny 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5114111012––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:59 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMarek Volny to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Marek Volny below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 53 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Marek Volny at 60.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 0–1 Marek Volny Michal Koral has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Volny
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Koral 1572 vs Volny 1559
Koral
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 60% vs Volny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 60% vs Volny 30%
Koral
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral -1 · Volny +3
Volny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Volny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 2.38 / Volny 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Volny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210705
Koral2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Volny1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 56 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKoral0wins
AwayVolny1wins
Volny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKoralVolnyK − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.034.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 239 vs 97 / 18654%52.2%129 / 239 vs 97 / 186Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyKoral 2.38/Volny 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 29 · 07:00M. Koral1954100M. Volny341111123
M. Koral10
LSep 29 · 06:00D. Machander1.7311119113M. Koral2.00971141WSep 25 · 13:30M. Koral1.40111196113M. Kowolowski2.7554111162WSep 25 · 12:30M. Koral1.401111113M. Kowolowski2.758560LSep 25 · 11:00M. Koral1.7311421292P. Smetka2.009111110113WSep 25 · 10:00I. Taichman2.001051171M. Koral1.7312117113WSep 24 · 13:30M. Koral1.631111113M. Kowolowski2.156960LSep 24 · 12:00M. Kowolowski2.5011115113M. Koral1.50981181WSep 24 · 11:00I. Taichman2.002790M. Koral1.731111113WSep 24 · 10:30M. Koral1.80101111113T. Milkov1.91129691LSep 24 · 09:29M. Koral1.834116121M. Blejchar1.8311911143
M. Volny10
WSep 29 · 06:30M. Volny1.331111113M. Blejchar3.257450WSep 20 · 21:12M. Volny1.2512511113L. Velicka3.751011591WSep 20 · 20:30L. Velicka2.3810121111112M. Volny1.53121496133LSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113LSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660
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