TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Kowolowski vs Michal Koral 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Miroslav Kowolowski
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118511118––
Michal Koral
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Kowolowski above · Michal Koral below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Koral at 64.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Kowolowski 0–2 Michal Koral Miroslav Kowolowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Koral
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kowolowski 1473 vs Koral 1600
Koral
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowolowski 20% vs Koral 80%
Koral
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowolowski 50% vs Koral 90%
Koral
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowolowski +1 · Koral +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowolowski 2.50 / Koral 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Koral)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13184050
Kowolowski2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 33 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Koral1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 48 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 40 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKowolowski0wins
AwayKoral2wins
Koral leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKowolowskiKoralKowolowski − KoralBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match22.537.0−14.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowolowskiKoralBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 284 vs 125 / 23155.6%54.1%158 / 284 vs 125 / 231Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKowolowski 2.50/Koral 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kowolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 20 · 16:00M. Kowolowski153750M. Koral331111113
LAug 12 · 20:00M. Kowolowski30741181M. Koral4111118113
M. Kowolowski10
WSep 24 · 11:30T. Milkov2.00117851M. Kowolowski1.7381111113LSep 24 · 10:00M. Kowolowski1.57119961I. Taichman2.2571111113LSep 23 · 21:12M. Kowolowski2.25014111192I. Taichman1.571112138113LSep 23 · 20:30M. Kowolowski1.5383111492R. Guliak2.381111612113LSep 23 · 19:00M. Kowolowski1.911112771E. Gebek1.8081411113WSep 23 · 18:00I. Taichman2.0665110M. Kowolowski1.601111133WSep 20 · 17:10M. Kowolowski1.4041111113T. Kraninger2.75114581LSep 20 · 16:00M. Koral1.671111113M. Kowolowski2.103750WSep 20 · 15:00V. Bosak1.67912961M. Kowolowski2.10111011113WSep 20 · 14:30M. Kowolowski1.9161111113T. Kraninger1.80118951
M. Koral10
WSep 24 · 11:00I. Taichman2.002790M. Koral1.731111113WSep 24 · 10:30M. Koral1.80101111113T. Milkov1.91129691LSep 24 · 09:29M. Koral1.834116121M. Blejchar1.8311911143WSep 24 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.61981161M. Koral2.2011118113WSep 24 · 07:00P. Osvald2.63111070M. Koral1.441312113WSep 24 · 06:30M. Koral1.531111113T. Milota2.384690WSep 21 · 13:30M. Koral1.431111123F. Zurek2.6099100WSep 21 · 12:00M. Koral1.7311811113I. Taichman2.00711321WSep 21 · 11:30P. Varecha2.757260M. Koral1.401111113WSep 20 · 16:00M. Koral1.671111113M. Kowolowski2.103750
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