TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vedmoch vs Lubos Krticka 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111131151513––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Lubos Krticka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 75 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 63.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 9–4 Lubos Krticka Lubos Krticka has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Vedmoch beat Krticka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (62%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Vedmoch
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1512 vs Krticka 1554
Krticka
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 60% vs Krticka 40%
Vedmoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 60% vs Krticka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch -1 · Krticka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vedmoch) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.48 / Krticka 2.45
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vedmoch)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13208469
Vedmoch1.48
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 193 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it79% 146 of 185
Krticka2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 18 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch8wins
AwayKrticka2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch87.5%7 of 8
AwayKrtickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch8Krticka2n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S2Vedmoch7Krticka3n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S3Vedmoch7Krticka3n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S4Vedmoch1Krticka3n = 4Krticka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochKrtickaV − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.331.5+4.8per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochKrtickaBasisWin rate · lifetime707 / 1334 vs 91 / 18753%48.7%707 / 1334 vs 91 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.48/Krticka 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 19:30M. Vedmoch361111143L. Krticka2796120
WSep 7 · 19:00M. Vedmoch371313113L. Krticka30111180
WAug 5 · 21:30M. Vedmoch48117118113L. Krticka3751161142
LAug 5 · 20:00M. Vedmoch371310681L. Krticka45111211113
WJul 17 · 21:28M. Vedmoch331111113L. Krticka188460
WJul 17 · 18:30M. Vedmoch331111113L. Krticka269890
WMay 7 · 20:00M. Vedmoch4181111113L. Krticka33119671
WMar 8 · 21:00M. Vedmoch43111155113L. Krticka4036111192
LFeb 24 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2211650L. Krticka351311113
WFeb 3 · 21:00M. Vedmoch331111113L. Krticka247980
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 27 · 20:00M. Vedmoch1.739450J. Stolfa2.001111113WSep 27 · 19:30L. Krticka2.6396120M. Vedmoch1.441111143LSep 27 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.5051151192R. Pavelka1.501111133113WSep 26 · 03:30M. Vedmoch2.55961111113T. Janata1.4511115962WSep 26 · 01:30M. Vedmoch2.6311121110113T. Janata1.44810131272WSep 26 · 00:30D. Kouble2.1011661172M. Vedmoch1.67611117113WSep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.4011961172M. Vedmoch2.75811119113WSep 25 · 22:30M. Vedmoch1.501111113V. Postelt2.509680LSep 25 · 21:00T. Janata1.401111113M. Vedmoch2.708650LSep 25 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.755880D. Tuma1.401111113
L. Krticka10
WSep 27 · 20:30R. Pavelka2.5012880L. Krticka1.501411113LSep 27 · 19:30L. Krticka2.6396120M. Vedmoch1.441111143LSep 27 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.3311118113L. Krticka3.25771111LSep 14 · 21:30L. Krticka2.10511111042T. Janata1.67118812113WSep 14 · 20:30M. Sedlak1.80581191L. Krticka1.9111114113WSep 14 · 19:30L. Krticka2.2511118113T. Janata1.57981171WSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8313961122L. Krticka1.831111118113WSep 7 · 21:00T. Janata1.536111161L. Krticka2.3811713113LSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113LSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113
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