TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vedmoch vs Tomas Janata 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911611115119116
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Janata at 55.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 6–8 Tomas Janata Michal Vedmoch has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
They have already met 3 times today · last one 2h before this match
Vedmoch beat Janata 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Janata
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1514 vs Janata 1583
Janata
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 80% vs Janata 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 50% vs Janata 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +4 · Janata +1
Vedmoch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 2.55 / Janata 1.45
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Janata)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13198264
Vedmoch2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 110 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 73
Janata1.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch5wins
AwayJanata5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch100%4 of 4
AwayJanata83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Vedmoch5Janata5n = 10split evenly
S3Vedmoch3Janata7n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S4Vedmoch3Janata3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochJanataV − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.235.9−1.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime706 / 1331 vs 445 / 84353%52.8%706 / 1331 vs 445 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataVedmoch 2.55/Janata 1.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 03:30M. Vedmoch48961111113T. Janata4211115962
WSep 26 · 01:30M. Vedmoch5511121110113T. Janata50810131272
LSep 25 · 21:00M. Vedmoch198650T. Janata331111113
LSep 25 · 18:00M. Vedmoch188460T. Janata331111113
WSep 7 · 20:00M. Vedmoch44111111113T. Janata32591351
LJul 15 · 21:30M. Vedmoch336101161T. Janata3911125113
LJul 15 · 19:30M. Vedmoch31611861T. Janata4211911113
WJul 13 · 20:58M. Vedmoch4111117123T. Janata306311101
LJul 13 · 20:00M. Vedmoch207490T. Janata331111113
WJun 11 · 19:30M. Vedmoch331111113T. Janata259880
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 26 · 01:30M. Vedmoch2.6311121110113T. Janata1.44810131272WSep 26 · 00:30D. Kouble2.1011661172M. Vedmoch1.67611117113WSep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.4011961172M. Vedmoch2.75811119113WSep 25 · 22:30M. Vedmoch1.501111113V. Postelt2.509680LSep 25 · 21:00T. Janata1.401111113M. Vedmoch2.708650LSep 25 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.755880D. Tuma1.401111113LSep 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa2.101211511113M. Vedmoch1.6714911772LSep 25 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.388460T. Janata1.531111113LSep 25 · 02:58M. Vedmoch2.5036100V. Cermak1.501111123WSep 25 · 02:00D. Kouble1.918760M. Vedmoch1.801111113
T. Janata10
WSep 26 · 02:30T. Janata1.671111113V. Cermak2.107360LSep 26 · 01:30M. Vedmoch2.6311121110113T. Janata1.44810131272WSep 26 · 00:00T. Janata1.5011117113V. Postelt2.50891161WSep 25 · 23:00D. Kouble2.2589140T. Janata1.571111163WSep 25 · 21:00T. Janata1.401111113M. Vedmoch2.708650LSep 25 · 20:30T. Janata1.7391070J. Stolfa2.001112113LSep 25 · 19:00T. Janata1.6751181172D. Tuma2.10115119113WSep 25 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.388460T. Janata1.531111113WSep 21 · 20:58T. Janata1.80115911113J. Stolfa1.9161111552LSep 21 · 20:30T. Janata1.808133111T. Vinter1.91111111133
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