TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vedmoch vs Jakub Stolfa 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411511––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 13–11 Jakub Stolfa Jakub Stolfa has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vedmoch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Vedmoch
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1522 vs Stolfa 1639
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 80% vs Stolfa 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 60% vs Stolfa 90%
Stolfa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +1 · Stolfa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vedmoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.73 / Stolfa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stolfa)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200604
Vedmoch1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 193 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it79% 146 of 185
Stolfa2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 65 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back35% 25 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch6wins
AwayStolfa4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch57.1%4 of 7
AwayStolfa33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch7Stolfa3n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S2Vedmoch7Stolfa3n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S3Vedmoch6Stolfa4n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S4Vedmoch3Stolfa4n = 7Stolfa took 4 of 7
S5Vedmoch2Stolfa3n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochStolfaV − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.1+2.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime707 / 1333 vs 207 / 39853%52%707 / 1333 vs 207 / 398Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.73/Stolfa 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 19:30M. Vedmoch4814911772J. Stolfa501211511113
LSep 24 · 09:00M. Vedmoch48121361162J. Stolfa511411114113
WSep 24 · 06:00M. Vedmoch43101111113J. Stolfa37129881
LSep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch3811105121J. Stolfa4581211143
WSep 8 · 17:00M. Vedmoch45132811113J. Stolfa40111111342
WSep 8 · 15:00M. Vedmoch331111113J. Stolfa238870
LAug 26 · 10:30M. Vedmoch45111213722J. Stolfa536101511113
WJul 18 · 19:00M. Vedmoch547111114113J. Stolfa5211791692
WJul 18 · 13:00M. Vedmoch331111113J. Stolfa237790
WJul 18 · 11:00M. Vedmoch341211113J. Stolfa2710980
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 27 · 19:30L. Krticka2.6396120M. Vedmoch1.441111143LSep 27 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.5051151192R. Pavelka1.501111133113WSep 26 · 03:30M. Vedmoch2.55961111113T. Janata1.4511115962WSep 26 · 01:30M. Vedmoch2.6311121110113T. Janata1.44810131272WSep 26 · 00:30D. Kouble2.1011661172M. Vedmoch1.67611117113WSep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.4011961172M. Vedmoch2.75811119113WSep 25 · 22:30M. Vedmoch1.501111113V. Postelt2.509680LSep 25 · 21:00T. Janata1.401111113M. Vedmoch2.708650LSep 25 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.755880D. Tuma1.401111113LSep 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa2.101211511113M. Vedmoch1.6714911772
J. Stolfa10
LSep 27 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.00117511113J. Stolfa1.7361111992WSep 27 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.3311118113L. Krticka3.25771111WSep 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa1.40711116113J. Plachy2.7511681172WSep 26 · 16:00J. Stolfa1.441111113J. Plachy2.633690WSep 26 · 15:30J. Dedek3.4041141162J. Stolfa1.30115115113WSep 26 · 14:00J. Stolfa1.50119811113M. Kolar2.5041111722WSep 25 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.901111113D. Tuma1.805760WSep 25 · 20:30T. Janata1.7391070J. Stolfa2.001112113WSep 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa2.101211511113M. Vedmoch1.6714911772WSep 25 · 18:30D. Tuma1.67971371J. Stolfa2.10111111113
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