TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Moshovskyi vs Yaroslav Tebenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012711––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moshovskyi to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Yaroslav Tebenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 62 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Vasyl Moshovskyi at 54.1%
62 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 21–16 Yaroslav Tebenko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Moshovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-16 in 37
Moshovskyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1529 vs Tebenko 1639
Tebenko
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 60% vs Tebenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 50% vs Tebenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi -1 · Tebenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moshovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tebenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 1.61 / Tebenko 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Moshovskyi)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13191000
Moshovskyi1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 55 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it69% 36 of 52
Tebenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 122 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back33% 44 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi7wins
AwayTebenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMoshovskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi71.4%5 of 7
AwayTebenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi7Tebenko3n = 10Moshovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Moshovskyi2Tebenko8n = 10Tebenko took 8 of 10
S3Moshovskyi8Tebenko2n = 10Moshovskyi took 8 of 10
S4Moshovskyi5Tebenko2n = 7Moshovskyi took 5 of 7
S5Moshovskyi2Tebenko1n = 3Moshovskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiTebenkoM − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.734.4+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiTebenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 335 vs 414 / 84754.9%48.9%184 / 335 vs 414 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoshovskyiMoshovskyi 1.61/Tebenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Moshovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tebenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 16:35V. Moshovskyi4011411682Y. Tebenko38311211113
LAug 28 · 21:15V. Moshovskyi208660Y. Tebenko331111113
WAug 26 · 05:35V. Moshovskyi4413911113Y. Tebenko361111591
LAug 19 · 08:05V. Moshovskyi33118681Y. Tebenko3961111113
WAug 11 · 00:30V. Moshovskyi48691111113Y. Tebenko4511118962
WAug 8 · 05:25V. Moshovskyi331111113Y. Tebenko183780
WAug 4 · 16:35V. Moshovskyi4011711113Y. Tebenko31711671
WAug 4 · 00:30V. Moshovskyi45661111113Y. Tebenko4111118652
WJul 26 · 00:45V. Moshovskyi341111123Y. Tebenko2899100
WJul 21 · 00:30V. Moshovskyi4011711113Y. Tebenko35911871
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 25 · 17:55D. Maltsev2.101371171V. Moshovskyi1.6715117113WSep 25 · 16:55V. Moshovskyi2.10311611113M. Potapov1.6711811792LSep 25 · 15:55V. Moshovskyi2.1011511492O. Storozhenko1.67911811113LSep 25 · 12:25V. Moshovskyi2.6310950I. Pytsko1.441211113WSep 21 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi1.671111113V. Korobko2.107890WSep 21 · 00:45V. Moshovskyi1.731211113D. Maltsev2.0010990LSep 20 · 23:15V. Moshovskyi1.7311771492I. Fashchevskyi2.005111112113WSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113
Y. Tebenko10
LSep 25 · 18:25Y. Tebenko1.8371181182O. Storozhenko1.83119115113WSep 25 · 16:25D. Maltsev2.00911771Y. Tebenko1.7311611113WSep 25 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.911211113I. Pytsko1.8010970WSep 25 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.531111113M. Potapov2.386970WSep 24 · 18:25Y. Tebenko1.831211117113I. Pytsko1.8314561192LSep 24 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi2.501211108113Y. Tebenko1.50108121182WSep 24 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.911111133O. Storozhenko1.8076110LSep 24 · 14:25M. Potapov1.80121325113Y. Tebenko1.911011111132WSep 24 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.8041111123D. Maltsev1.911189101WSep 23 · 02:15M. Potapov1.80116861Y. Tebenko1.9181111113
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