TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Derevianko vs Volodymyr Savoliuk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911911711––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 58.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 22–31 Volodymyr Savoliuk Andrii Derevianko has won 22 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-31 in 53
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1737 vs Savoliuk 1689
Derevianko
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 60% vs Savoliuk 20%
Derevianko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 70% vs Savoliuk 50%
Derevianko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +1 · Savoliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.20 / Savoliuk 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Savoliuk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13185691
Derevianko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 131 of 318
Down 0–1, comes back25% 46 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back12% 12 of 99
Savoliuk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 128 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it84% 93 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko4wins
AwaySavoliuk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko50%2 of 4
AwaySavoliuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Derevianko6Savoliuk4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S3Derevianko5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Derevianko2Savoliuk6n = 8Savoliuk took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoSavoliukD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.338.8−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime455 / 959 vs 299 / 52947.5%56.5%455 / 959 vs 299 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukDerevianko 2.20/Savoliuk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 09:50A. Derevianko4416116113V. Savoliuk301431121
LSep 15 · 12:20A. Derevianko239680V. Savoliuk331111113
LSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko46111168102V. Savoliuk52991111123
WSep 10 · 14:00A. Derevianko4181111113V. Savoliuk31114881
WSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko46711116113V. Savoliuk4311961162
LSep 1 · 06:50A. Derevianko396914101V. Savoliuk46111112123
WAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko341112113V. Savoliuk2481060
LAug 28 · 11:50A. Derevianko371011971V. Savoliuk4312911113
LAug 25 · 08:20A. Derevianko361391131V. Savoliuk4215115113
LAug 24 · 14:30A. Derevianko371112861V. Savoliuk4481411113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 24 · 12:00A. Derevianko2.38111411113O. Seliuchenko1.5381111762LSep 22 · 11:50M. Mrykh2.1018119113A. Derevianko1.671661171WSep 22 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.611111113E. Hrytsenko2.204680WSep 22 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.2516116113V. Savoliuk1.571431121LSep 22 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.00112661O. Strutinskiy1.7391111113WSep 22 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.20751212113I. Nitchenko1.611111101042WSep 18 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.61118111143E. Hrytsenko2.2081113522LSep 18 · 16:30I. Nitchenko1.73812114113A. Derevianko2.00111041162WSep 18 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.00117811123M. Deineha1.73611114102WSep 18 · 14:30A. Nazarov1.8011912682A. Derevianko1.916111011113
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 24 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00511119113V. Savoliuk1.7311661192WSep 22 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy2.75511961V. Savoliuk1.4011511113LSep 22 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.6312312113V. Savoliuk1.4410111071LSep 22 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.2516116113V. Savoliuk1.571431121LSep 22 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko3.0011117113V. Savoliuk1.36491191WSep 22 · 05:50M. Mrykh1.91811101172V. Savoliuk1.80119127113WSep 21 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy3.00571161V. Savoliuk1.3611118113WSep 21 · 17:30V. Savoliuk1.33119712113E. Hrytsenko3.25511111022LSep 21 · 15:30M. Mrykh2.381111113V. Savoliuk1.536780WSep 21 · 13:30V. Maksuta2.20991251V. Savoliuk1.61111110113
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