TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Marchlewski vs Jaroslaw Rolak · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 22:35Scheduled
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
2.12
At publish
Won last 16–4Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
14 – 21
All 35 meetings · 40.0%
Last 10 · 2–8Same side
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 26–4Last 10Won last 2
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Rolak beat Marchlewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 2.12 / Rolak 1.57
TT Elite Series · #13180704
Marchlewski2.12
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 46 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Rolak1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 135 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it86% 63 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it71% 107 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarchlewski2wins
AwayRolak8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski66.7%2 of 3
AwayRolak100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S2Marchlewski3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S3Marchlewski4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S4Marchlewski2Rolak5n = 7Rolak took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiRolakM − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.240.4−8.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 347 vs 652 / 144143.8%45.3%152 / 347 vs 652 / 1441Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 15:25K. Marchlewski35981261J. Rolak43111110113
LSep 12 · 13:55K. Marchlewski2394100J. Rolak341111123
WSep 1 · 21:05K. Marchlewski42124311123J. Rolak481011116102
LSep 1 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2715660J. Rolak391711113
LAug 29 · 09:25K. Marchlewski26531171J. Rolak3811115113
LAug 29 · 06:05K. Marchlewski26511911J. Rolak4211911113
LAug 6 · 23:20K. Marchlewski401212791J. Rolak46141011113
WAug 6 · 20:30K. Marchlewski371111153J. Rolak2236130
LJul 28 · 21:05K. Marchlewski29125481J. Rolak43101111113
LJul 28 · 19:20K. Marchlewski3737111152J. Rolak49111188113
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 22 · 21:55W. Gluszek1.8551112101K. Marchlewski1.8011614123LSep 22 · 19:40K. Marchlewski1.8511811642D. Szlubowski1.80911711113LSep 22 · 18:30K. Marchlewski1.9011128992M. Durda1.807101111113LSep 22 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.80115981M. Skorski1.8651111113WSep 22 · 16:20W. Gluszek1.85136100K. Marchlewski1.851511123LSep 22 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.88981261J. Rolak1.82111110113WSep 22 · 24:10A. Myszewski1.9021111692K. Marchlewski1.75117811113WSep 21 · 23:45K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Durda—7550WSep 21 · 22:55K. Marchlewski1.78911119113J. Przewlocki1.9311731192WSep 21 · 21:05K. Marchlewski2.101111113M. Kowalczyk1.656880
J. Rolak10
WSep 22 · 21:05M. Skorski1.717750J. Rolak2.001111113WSep 22 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.841165171J. Rolak1.7161111193LSep 22 · 19:20J. Rolak2.00710111172M. Skorski1.70111276113LSep 22 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.71111111113J. Rolak2.00671361WSep 22 · 17:00M. Durda1.95311641J. Rolak1.7411311113WSep 22 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.88981261J. Rolak1.82111110113WSep 20 · 07:40M. Skorski1.8071240J. Rolak1.901114113LSep 20 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.8314711143J. Rolak1.8712116121LSep 20 · 06:05J. Rolak1.905131110102D. Poloszczanski1.761111712123WSep 20 · 04:30J. Rolak3.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.20771181
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