TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jaroslaw Rolak vs Michal Skorski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111012117116711
Michal Skorski
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:18 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
7111012117116711
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 13–18 Michal Skorski Jaroslaw Rolak has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Skorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-18 in 31
Skorski
Correct
gap of 5 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1269 vs Skorski 1264
Rolak
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 60% vs Skorski 20%
Rolak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 60% vs Skorski 30%
Rolak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak -1 · Skorski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Skorski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorski form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 2.00 / Skorski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Skorski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13179692
Rolak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 174 of 471
Down 0–1, comes back18% 46 of 261
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 118
Skorski1.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 137 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it99% 64 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it76% 108 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolak6wins
AwaySkorski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRolak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak83.3%5 of 6
AwaySkorski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak6Skorski4n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S2Rolak7Skorski3n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S3Rolak7Skorski3n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S4Rolak2Skorski4n = 6Skorski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolakSkorskiR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.134.8+4.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakSkorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 1438 vs 719 / 148845.2%48.3%650 / 1438 vs 719 / 1488Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorskiRolak 2.00/Skorski 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Skorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 07:40J. Rolak361114113M. Skorski2371240
WAug 19 · 24:10J. Rolak4311147113M. Skorski364121191
WAug 18 · 15:00J. Rolak331111113M. Skorski217860
WAug 13 · 23:20J. Rolak6011141111133M. Skorski52131666112
WAug 13 · 20:30J. Rolak331111113M. Skorski217860
LAug 7 · 18:10J. Rolak34611981M. Skorski4211911113
LJul 17 · 01:00J. Rolak32781161M. Skorski3911116113
LJul 16 · 22:35J. Rolak4011101091M. Skorski4381212113
LJul 16 · 20:30J. Rolak47111111772M. Skorski49138611113
WJun 20 · 13:55J. Rolak331111113M. Skorski228770
J. Rolak10
LSep 22 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.71111111113J. Rolak2.00671361WSep 22 · 17:00M. Durda1.95311641J. Rolak1.7411311113WSep 22 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.88981261J. Rolak1.82111110113WSep 20 · 07:40M. Skorski1.8071240J. Rolak1.901114113LSep 20 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.8314711143J. Rolak1.8712116121LSep 20 · 06:05J. Rolak1.905131110102D. Poloszczanski1.761111712123WSep 20 · 04:30J. Rolak3.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.20771181LSep 20 · 03:50B. Wisniewski1.851111143J. Rolak1.8088120WSep 19 · 13:55J. Rolak1.801111113W. Suchecki1.866350WSep 19 · 12:40J. Rolak1.8011911153D. Poloszczanski1.904119131
M. Skorski10
LSep 22 · 20:05M. Durda1.661111113M. Skorski2.104870WSep 22 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.80115981M. Skorski1.8651111113LSep 22 · 16:40D. Szlubowski1.5011117133M. Skorski2.408811111LSep 22 · 15:00W. Gluszek1.8511118113M. Skorski1.85761161LSep 20 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.201281115113M. Skorski3.85101161772LSep 20 · 13:30A. Eliasz1.90129115113M. Skorski1.80101181182WSep 20 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.766780M. Skorski1.901111113LSep 20 · 10:35D. Poloszczanski1.851110128113M. Skorski1.85812101192WSep 20 · 09:00B. Wisniewski1.9551191192M. Skorski1.74119118113LSep 20 · 07:40M. Skorski1.8071240J. Rolak1.901114113
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