TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jaroslaw Rolak vs Michal Durda 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11691112141210114
Michal Durda
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
11691112141210114
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 1–2 Michal Durda Jaroslaw Rolak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Rolak beat Durda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Durda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 1.90 / Durda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Durda)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13180800
Rolak1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 174 of 471
Down 0–1, comes back18% 46 of 261
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 118
Durda1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite74% won 193 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it88% 136 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRolak1wins
AwayDurda2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderDurda leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak1Durda2n = 3Durda took 2 of 3
S2Rolak2Durda1n = 3Rolak took 2 of 3
S3Rolak2Durda1n = 3Rolak took 2 of 3
S4Rolak1Durda2n = 3Durda took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricRolakDurdaR − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.036.3+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime652 / 1441 vs 208 / 28545.3%73%652 / 1441 vs 208 / 285Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaRolak 1.90/Durda 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 22 · 17:00J. Rolak3611311113M. Durda24311641
LSep 19 · 10:10J. Rolak49811119102M. Durda47116711123
LSep 19 · 06:05J. Rolak35911961M. Durda3811511113
J. Rolak10
WSep 22 · 21:05M. Skorski1.717750J. Rolak2.001111113WSep 22 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.841165171J. Rolak1.7161111193LSep 22 · 19:20J. Rolak2.00710111172M. Skorski1.70111276113LSep 22 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.71111111113J. Rolak2.00671361WSep 22 · 17:00M. Durda1.95311641J. Rolak1.7411311113WSep 22 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.88981261J. Rolak1.82111110113WSep 20 · 07:40M. Skorski1.8071240J. Rolak1.901114113LSep 20 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.8314711143J. Rolak1.8712116121LSep 20 · 06:05J. Rolak1.905131110102D. Poloszczanski1.761111712123WSep 20 · 04:30J. Rolak3.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.20771181
M. Durda10
LSep 22 · 21:30W. Gluszek2.151111113M. Durda1.603570WSep 22 · 20:05M. Durda1.661111113M. Skorski2.104870WSep 22 · 18:30K. Marchlewski1.9011128992M. Durda1.807101111113LSep 22 · 17:45W. Gluszek3.451113113M. Durda1.2671110LSep 22 · 17:00M. Durda1.95311641J. Rolak1.7411311113WSep 22 · 15:50M. Durda1.761111123D. Szlubowski1.9054100LSep 22 · 24:35M. Durda1.15112741J. Przewlocki5.0081111113LSep 21 · 23:45K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Durda—7550WSep 21 · 22:35M. Durda1.12911522113M. Kowalczyk6.00116112062LSep 21 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.501111123M. Durda2.4357100
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