TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Marchlewski vs Michal Durda · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts Sep 23, 24:35Scheduled
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 15–5Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
1 – 2
All 3 meetings · 33.3%
Last 3 · 1–2Same side
Michal Durda
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 33–7Last 10Lost last 3
Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Durda beat Marchlewski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 1.90 / Durda 1.80
TT Elite Series · #13180857
Marchlewski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 46 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Durda1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite74% won 193 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it88% 136 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMarchlewski1wins
AwayDurda2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderDurda leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski33.3%1 of 3
AwayDurdan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski3Durda0n = 3Marchlewski took 3 of 3
S2Marchlewski2Durda1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
S3Marchlewski2Durda1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiDurdaM − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match44.037.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 348 vs 208 / 28743.7%72.5%152 / 348 vs 208 / 287Avg sets wonper match1.92.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 22 · 18:30K. Marchlewski4911128992M. Durda507101111113
WSep 21 · 23:45K. Marchlewski331111113M. Durda177550
LSep 21 · 17:20K. Marchlewski50119119102M. Durda44411611123
K. Marchlewski10
LSep 22 · 22:35K. Marchlewski2.1266121192J. Rolak1.571111106113WSep 22 · 21:55W. Gluszek1.8551112101K. Marchlewski1.8011614123LSep 22 · 19:40K. Marchlewski1.8511811642D. Szlubowski1.80911711113LSep 22 · 18:30K. Marchlewski1.9011128992M. Durda1.807101111113LSep 22 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.80115981M. Skorski1.8651111113WSep 22 · 16:20W. Gluszek1.85136100K. Marchlewski1.851511123LSep 22 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.88981261J. Rolak1.82111110113WSep 22 · 24:10A. Myszewski1.9021111692K. Marchlewski1.75117811113WSep 21 · 23:45K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Durda—7550WSep 21 · 22:55K. Marchlewski1.78911119113J. Przewlocki1.9311731192
M. Durda10
LSep 22 · 22:55M. Skorski2.251212113M. Durda1.57101060LSep 22 · 22:15J. Rolak1.901191212113M. Durda1.80611141042LSep 22 · 21:30W. Gluszek2.151111113M. Durda1.603570WSep 22 · 20:05M. Durda1.661111113M. Skorski2.104870WSep 22 · 18:30K. Marchlewski1.9011128992M. Durda1.807101111113LSep 22 · 17:45W. Gluszek3.451113113M. Durda1.2671110LSep 22 · 17:00M. Durda1.95311641J. Rolak1.7411311113WSep 22 · 15:50M. Durda1.761111123D. Szlubowski1.9054100LSep 22 · 24:35M. Durda1.15112741J. Przewlocki5.0081111113LSep 21 · 23:45K. Marchlewski—1111113M. Durda—7550
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K. Marchlewski
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