Michal Szostak vs Denys Kovtanyuk 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Sep 22Finished

Michal Szostak

Home

1.95

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1161198117111311

Denys Kovtanyuk

Away

1.74

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 6

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Denys Kovtanyuk to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

98 points played in total.

Set by set

1161198117111311

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:30

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.74 (53%)

Kovtanyuk

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Szostak 1436 vs Kovtanyuk 1340

Szostak

Correct

both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Szostak 60% vs Kovtanyuk 0%

Szostak

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Szostak 50% vs Kovtanyuk 10%

Szostak

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Szostak -1 · Kovtanyuk -6

Kovtanyuk

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovtanyuk)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kovtanyuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (57%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzostak 1.95 / Kovtanyuk 1.74

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Kovtanyuk)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13179192

Szostak1.95

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 09) · back after a break

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog49% won 27 of 55

Down 0–1, comes back34% 12 of 35

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16

Kovtanyuk1.74

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzostakKovtanyukBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 255 vs 50 / 17449.4%28.7%126 / 255 vs 50 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.835.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Kovtanyuk

Szostak 1.95/Kovtanyuk 1.74

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Kovtanyuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Szostak won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Szostak10