TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tibor Kolenic vs Frantisek Briza 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4114111012––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:20 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 52 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 56.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 56–41 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 41 of their 97 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolenic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-41 in 97
Kolenic
Wrong
gap of 15 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1434 vs Briza 1423
Kolenic
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 60% vs Briza 80%
Briza
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 60% vs Briza 40%
Kolenic
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic +1 · Briza -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kolenic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 1.67 / Briza 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kolenic)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189244
Kolenic1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 69 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it70% 55 of 79
Briza2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 78 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic7wins
AwayBriza3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic66.7%4 of 6
AwayBriza25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic6Briza4n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S2Kolenic5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolenic5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolenic4Briza3n = 7Kolenic took 4 of 7
S5Kolenic4Briza1n = 5Kolenic took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicBrizaK − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.8+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 546 vs 373 / 81746.2%45.7%252 / 546 vs 373 / 817Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicKolenic 1.67/Briza 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 16:30T. Kolenic1844100F. Briza341111123
LSep 20 · 08:30T. Kolenic361171081F. Briza3841112113
WSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic48911611113F. Briza4311911392
LSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic4511115992F. Briza45751111113
WSep 16 · 16:30T. Kolenic3911611113F. Briza34611981
WSep 15 · 16:30T. Kolenic49881111113F. Briza4611119872
WAug 28 · 21:08T. Kolenic45116116113F. Briza3981141152
WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic571013811153F. Briza551211118132
WAug 22 · 21:29T. Kolenic331111113F. Briza227870
WAug 22 · 19:00T. Kolenic331111113F. Briza226880
T. Kolenic10
WSep 25 · 17:00O. Fejtek2.20711841T. Kolenic1.6011711113WSep 25 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.6791111113O. Fejtek2.10117691LSep 25 · 14:00D. Horak1.611114116113T. Kolenic2.2071671172WSep 20 · 08:58T. Kolenic2.101111113V. Dolezal1.678580LSep 20 · 08:30F. Briza2.0041112113T. Kolenic1.731171081WSep 20 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.00861111113D. Horak1.7311119992LSep 20 · 06:30V. Dolezal1.9111111113T. Kolenic1.80811511WSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392LSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711115992F. Briza2.10751111113WSep 18 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.8391311123A. Svoboda1.8311119101
F. Briza10
LSep 25 · 15:30F. Briza2.2012870D. Horak1.611411113WSep 25 · 14:30O. Fejtek1.83810111182F. Briza1.83111269113WSep 20 · 09:30D. Horak1.6011511932F. Briza2.20411411113WSep 20 · 08:30F. Briza2.0041112113T. Kolenic1.731171081WSep 20 · 07:00F. Briza1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20611761LSep 20 · 06:00D. Horak1.61691211113F. Briza2.20111110952LSep 19 · 02:00D. Horak1.57811411113F. Briza2.2511711692LSep 19 · 00:30F. Briza1.337111091O. Kucirek3.2511712113LSep 18 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.38911611113F. Briza1.5311911392WSep 18 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711115992F. Briza2.10751111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Kolenic
Nothing scheduled
F. Briza
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