Dominik Bartosik vs Andrzej Krezel 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 13Finished

Dominik Bartosik

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

411119116811511

Andrzej Krezel

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:40 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Andrzej Krezel to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingDominik Bartosik above · Andrzej Krezel below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 5-11

Point 87 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Andrzej Krezel at 54.0%

87 points played in total.

H2H Dominik Bartosik 1–0 Andrzej Krezel Andrzej Krezel has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 1–0Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Krezel

Bartosik 1.83/Krezel 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Krezel · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Krezel won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 01:40

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Krezel

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-0 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Bartosik 1325 vs Krezel 1424

Krezel

Correct

both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Bartosik 20% vs Krezel 60%

Krezel

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Bartosik 30% vs Krezel 50%

Krezel

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Bartosik -3 · Krezel -1

Bartosik

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Krezel) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bartosik: form 20%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBartosik 1.833 / Krezel 1.833

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Krezel)-0.6pp

Same-day rematch · 8h before this match

Bartosik beat Krezel 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeBartosik1wins

AwayKrezel0wins

1 of 1 to a deciderBartosik leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home1

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricBartosikKrezelB − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.041.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBartosikKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 29 vs 128 / 31944.8%40.1%13 / 29 vs 128 / 319Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.136.4per match

TT Elite Series · #13285432

Bartosik1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

Krezel1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Dominik Bartosik vs Andrzej Krezel 2-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dominik Bartosik vs Andrzej Krezel 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.